Ukraine · resolved market
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9772347ce628f4427ab437333679512aba5a98a4d14ff2a138f99fe7a40ba5fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,172,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,093,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,172,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 423 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 4c | 13,886$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.77 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5738…cbb7backed Yes | 3c | 11,558$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.19 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 4cpaid | +251.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 8c | 10,389$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.73 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…ba02backed Yes | 4c | 4,853$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 3c | 3,461$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.49 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 4c | 3,417$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.22 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x943f…43a7backed Yes | 3c | 2,928$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,849$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.14 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…e8e7backed Yes | 4c | 2,692$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b0…8ae5backed Yes | 4c | 2,682$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 2,627$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 63 | 1.6%1 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd3…98efbacked Yes | 4c | 2,543$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee57…68c9backed Yes | 4c | 2,442$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…50c4backed Yes | 4c | 2,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 3c | 2,317$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.21 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82cb…6a34backed Yes | 5c | 2,281$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c79…a630backed Yes | 4c | 2,218$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…fa73backed Yes | 5c | 2,007$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…34b9backed Yes | 3c | 1,780$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…cd3fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,729$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 4c | 1,608$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61a…c7f1backed Yes | 3c | 1,535$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73aa…dd36backed Yes | 3c | 1,507$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…acfebacked Yes | 2c | 1,500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd848…6882backed Yes | 4c | 1,494$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…7fa1backed Yes | 2c | 1,446$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…35edbacked Yes | 4c | 1,414$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd4…5026backed Yes | 3c | 1,397$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9c…e039backed Yes | 4c | 1,396$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…70e0backed Yes | 4c | 1,383$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f17…519ebacked No | 76c | 1,379$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.03 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7e…cb13backed Yes | 2c | 1,373$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +144.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…4922backed Yes | 4c | 1,370$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bc…e066backed Yes | 5c | 1,359$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,358$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b7…f35ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,288$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 1,271$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 130 | 2.3%3 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa28e…b220backed Yes | 12c | 1,250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.01 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…5928backed Yes | 3c | 1,234$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…8f93backed Yes | 15c | 1,231$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…5e24backed Yes | 3c | 1,189$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ae…1de2backed Yes | 4c | 1,136$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 1,115$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 1,114$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ee…e511backed Yes | 3c | 1,113$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba64…d17ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,106$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f72…4cd1backed Yes | 4c | 1,086$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 1c | 1,082$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…e49ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,078$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…8bc7backed Yes | 4c | 1,058$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…cc39backed Yes | 4c | 1,053$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39c…7d92backed Yes | 3c | 1,033$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…fb71backed Yes | 5c | 1,020$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 6cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5d…16febacked Yes | 5c | 1,010$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 6cpaid | +311.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fe…a963backed Yes | 5c | 1,010$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a08…7328backed Yes | 5c | 1,010$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a37…b2e9backed Yes | 5c | 1,010$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…5406backed Yes | 5c | 1,010$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dac…19c4backed Yes | 5c | 1,010$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +541%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb279…e54cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,010$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ece…86bdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,005$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f76…ea95backed Yes | 5c | 1,005$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec22…8524backed Yes | 3c | 1,003$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…6480backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698d…e976backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x174d…0f39backed Yes | 3c | 985$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8491…2d1fbacked Yes | 3c | 985$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec8…b50ebacked Yes | 3c | 985$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x950f…9390backed Yes | 3c | 985$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4352…61c9backed Yes | 3c | 985$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…2ab7backed Yes | 3c | 985$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…c408backed Yes | 3c | 974$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f4…e0f3backed Yes | 4c | 969.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…39e0backed Yes | 4c | 969.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd184…078bbacked Yes | 4c | 965$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f86…df06backed Yes | 4c | 965$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…cebcbacked Yes | 4c | 960.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…d8debacked Yes | 3c | 946$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6234…5b90backed Yes | 5c | 944$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x214a…41d6backed Yes | 5c | 944$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa783…30d1backed Yes | 5c | 942$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…d34abacked Yes | 4c | 937$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0209…ace8backed Yes | 5c | 934$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…c96ebacked Yes | 4c | 929.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…3783backed Yes | 3c | 923$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb7…3297backed Yes | 35c | 920$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfea…cba7backed Yes | 4c | 920$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 33c | 910.78$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.08 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b3…cfd0backed Yes | 4c | 893.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e0…879ebacked Yes | 5c | 893$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f8…8d2abacked Yes | 6c | 892.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c6…e468backed Yes | 4c | 886$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…151dbacked Yes | 5c | 880$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…9b3abacked Yes | 5c | 880$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 875.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e5…dfdcbacked Yes | 2c | 874$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec08…6c41backed Yes | 4c | 849$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…1eb1backed Yes | 3c | 848$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…5976backed Yes | 3c | 835$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5643…a9e6backed Yes | 4c | 815$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.