World Politics · resolved market
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f7d9b8d53f632304884f31375be9c61cf27fe453ed00a2d6b14ed976dcb9566
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $212,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 0c | 64,643$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.97 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b1…b8bdbacked Yes | 0c | 46,000$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…26b1backed Yes | 0c | 14,300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x289c…5ecfbacked Yes | 1c | 7,198$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…18c6backed Yes | 2c | 4,741$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1c…73f1backed Yes | 0c | 3,947$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…70f9backed Yes | 47c | 3,576$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…6078backed Yes | 45c | 2,976$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x181a…efd9backed No | 74c | 1,950$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed Yes | 33c | 1,517$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0751…b391backed Yes | 39c | 1,387$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.08 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…91cfbacked No | 39c | 581$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb7…3297backed No | 60c | 430.08$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.23 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…02e0backed Yes | 14c | 412.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…2696backed No | 52c | 378.59$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 53c | 368.88$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.02 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa22…5e49backed Yes | 48c | 364.5$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b52…d558backed Yes | 42c | 339$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.38 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3489…7fffbacked No | 54c | 300$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed No | 52c | 289$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.72 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed No | 74c | 286.08$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 53c | 250.83$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 31c | 186.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb64e…3c0abacked Yes | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…bf31backed No | 68c | 146.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 18c | 128.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed No | 54c | 120.35$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 12c | 116.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 72 | 16.7%12 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee2d…e0f5backed Yes | 40c | 113.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f92…15d2backed No | 50c | 109.92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7023…b538backed No | 61c | 104.85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ba…13febacked Yes | 20c | 99.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 68c | 88.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 40c | 88.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 41c | 88.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.63 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 64c | 75.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf48…6f13backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 51c | 72.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…6a6cbacked Yes | 62c | 72.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed No | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…990dbacked Yes | 53c | 59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 51c | 55.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 46c | 50.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fc…e51dbacked No | 51c | 49.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 58c | 41.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 110 | 69.1%76 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d3…b40dbacked No | 56c | 40.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed No | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd742…f678backed No | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb60…0118backed No | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…65b9backed Yes | 40c | 39.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 60c | 37.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfd…e4a6backed Yes | 31c | 36.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a5…4512backed No | 57c | 34.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…5b2ebacked No | 60c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 48c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…9b03backed No | 69c | 29.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e8…b19bbacked Yes | 46c | 24.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa96e…836fbacked Yes | 63c | 19.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?this page
- Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win between 100 and 109 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
- Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win between 60 and 69 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
- Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win between 70 and 79 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes won
- Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win between 80 and 89 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
- Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win between 90 and 99 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
- Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win fewer than 60 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.