World Politics · resolved market
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win fewer than 60 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x306216a1142580b71e05278700f408cbce53e48bf6f3ddac942e8196c3ed1a41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 5c | 81,320$3,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,820.33 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 1c | 2,663$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda6…925abacked Yes | 8c | 1,295$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 1c | 1,250$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…a270backed Yes | 5c | 1,200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 657.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 6c | 426.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 192.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf80c…08febacked Yes | 7c | 185.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0323…5dedbacked Yes | 10c | 166.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555e…6bb8backed Yes | 10c | 156.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…9767backed Yes | 8c | 139.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win fewer than 60 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?this page
- Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
- Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win between 100 and 109 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
- Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win between 60 and 69 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
- Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win between 70 and 79 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes won
- Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win between 80 and 89 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
- Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win between 90 and 99 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.