TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x555e…6bb8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
139
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT3438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.38
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+120.8%+$19.86
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$14.62
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$13.89
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+185.7%+$46.43
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+96.8%+$19.35
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+27.3%+$12.14
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+109.1%+$27.28
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2931%9 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+210.6%+$50.51
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Tottenham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+233.3%+$35
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Brighton win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+100%+$15
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Brentford win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Wolves win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+369%+$55.35
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will West Ham vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.73
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST2157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+284.6%+$42.69
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+69.5%+$10.42
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+104.1%+$15.61
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Thunder (-18.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$22.17
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Warriors vs. Magic: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Spread: Bucks (-9.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Spread: Suns (-4.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Spread: Bucks (-4.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Cavaliers vs. Heat: O/U 247.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+132.6%+$19.88
All 21 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-71.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $600M and $800M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+169.6%+$171.35
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.75
Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Meteora FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Meteora FDV above $6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.27
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$24.5
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+300%+$45
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+163.2%+$24.47
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+25%+$3
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-54.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+240.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$13.51
Sabres vs. Utahbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+114.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Texas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+150%+$15
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+78.6%+$11.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+38.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+176.9%+$51.32
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+98%+$29.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$14.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.