Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x239f477e8936ad13cde92d68b527e6ddd7cde7da326e4b65fd3e679ae9c7adcc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof MOUZ, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 42,044$19,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,193.21 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed MOUZ | 53c | 30,261$16,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,165.21 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 5,210$2,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,917.87 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed MOUZ | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.98 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8681…ef99backed MOUZ | 52c | 4,749$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.24 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…ea40backed MOUZ | 8c | 4,656$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.63 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed MOUZ | 56c | 4,343$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.21 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed MOUZ | 21c | 3,943$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.38 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed MOUZ | 54c | 3,912$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.98 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 3,855$2,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.84 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 3,778$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.06 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 3,337$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.78 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…1c08backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 3,067$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.34 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MOUZ | 32c | 2,826$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.5 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa222…7d3cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 1,859$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 1,650$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.5 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed MOUZ | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed MOUZ | 53c | 1,410$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.36 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked MOUZ | 54c | 1,320$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.37 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 1,096$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.85 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 1,071$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.14 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed MOUZ | 51c | 1,063$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.78 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked MOUZ | 28c | 1,049$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.59 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed MOUZ | 2c | 1,046$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 1,025$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.72 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 1,001$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.2 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…4dafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ | 54c | 998.19$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.02 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c2…12e7backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 971.9$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 934.42$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.24 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 821.55$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.98 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed MOUZ | 4c | 797.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 780$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.95 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 29c | 756.18$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.22 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked MOUZ | 54c | 754.16$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.25 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 699.96$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.98 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 688.29$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.24 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 631.45$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.18 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed MOUZ | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed MOUZ | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed MOUZ | 37c | 598.9$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.7 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd2…2f38backed MOUZ | 28c | 533.45$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 501.76$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.52 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb57…32dcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed MOUZ | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…67a6backed MOUZ | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 499.97$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.99 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked MOUZ | 57c | 486.84$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 483.2$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.59 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed MOUZ | 49c | 463.86$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.24 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked MOUZ | 57c | 437.4$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.32 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 403.79$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.16 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 397.11$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.25 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…f429backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 349.91$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…7653backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 321.41$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 311.3$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.17 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 302.08$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.15 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 272.83$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.34 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabc7…a5dfbacked MOUZ | 57c | 272.78$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 272.3$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.51 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…ceb5backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 270.59$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4222…c5eebacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 268.03$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac1…6b8dbacked MOUZ | 55c | 267.58$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…9c40backed MOUZ | 54c | 258.84$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed MOUZ | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…9be5backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 245.65$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.24 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 245.05$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.87 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 235.68$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 234$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.49 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed MOUZ | 30c | 207.46$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.24 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed MOUZ | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f8…8c55backed MOUZ | 52c | 192.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked MOUZ | 34c | 185.81$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked MOUZ | 7c | 173.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 173.32$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.97 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3829…89a9backed MOUZ | 28c | 170.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed MOUZ | 54c | 169.11$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.32 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked MOUZ | 49c | 164.83$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.77 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 45c | 164.19$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 156.48$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed MOUZ | 30c | 151.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked MOUZ | 55c | 133.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…8b06backed MOUZ | 53c | 126.52$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.05 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked MOUZ | 28c | 124.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed MOUZ | 52c | 118.87$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked MOUZ | 53c | 117.79$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 116.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…20a2backed MOUZ | 52c | 111.13$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd0…ff51backed MOUZ | 57c | 107.06$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 106.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.79 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…34d0backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 104.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed MOUZ | 56c | 104.31$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed MOUZ | 49c | 100.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed MOUZ | 49c | 100.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc75…5431backed MOUZ | 49c | 100.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.