Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64d9f6a32dae5c4ef2c19739a0bae4a367f9ac97c932b7e5bdfbf1d329d86043
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof MOUZ, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $250,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $271,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb53a…e694backed MOUZ | 0c | 94,006$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 38,517$18,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,278.65 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed MOUZ | 54c | 37,779$20,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,255.55 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed MOUZ | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed MOUZ | 53c | 4,688$2,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,507.58 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 4,541$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.58 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 4,281$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.28 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed MOUZ | 1c | 2,956$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed MOUZ | 54c | 2,760$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.16 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 2,485$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.62 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 2,364$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.31 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 2,161$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.66 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 1,990$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.68 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed MOUZ | 54c | 1,972$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.98 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed MOUZ | 53c | 1,888$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.82 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 1,643$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.6 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 1,462$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.12 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed MOUZ | 3c | 1,454$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed MOUZ | 45c | 1,413$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.03 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed MOUZ | 53c | 1,207$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.12 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed MOUZ | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked MOUZ | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.87 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 1,012$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.33 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 1,009$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.54 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…4dadbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 999.3$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.75 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.43per pick | 44cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 987.69$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.56 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked MOUZ | 50c | 962$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked MOUZ | 36c | 908.31$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.48 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked MOUZ | 15c | 889.54$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.72 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 831.59$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.27 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 53c | 825.9$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.8 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked MOUZ | 50c | 819.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 806.41$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.21 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 755.77$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.11 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed MOUZ | 53c | 748.28$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.59 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 732.33$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.33 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked MOUZ | 18c | 649.95$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.64 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 642.67$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.92 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 634.94$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.44 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 605.16$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.94 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3829…89a9backed MOUZ | 17c | 600.11$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.59 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked MOUZ | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed MOUZ | 55c | 583.8$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.09 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked MOUZ | 51c | 572.72$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.09 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 544.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.06 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed MOUZ | 14c | 536.41$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.46 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 506.49$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.4 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed MOUZ | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 496.55$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.14 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed MOUZ | 54c | 493.15$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.48 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 56c | 492.87$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.43 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 483.8$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.25 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 476.42$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.1 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed MOUZ | 52c | 474.49$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.73 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…e2e6backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 441.03$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.69 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 436.85$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.83 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 420.24$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.73 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked MOUZ | 41c | 385.86$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.54 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed MOUZ | 50c | 384.53$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.06 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7aa…4dd9backed MOUZ | 38c | 383.14$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed MOUZ | 20c | 376$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 315.79$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.98 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 314.67$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.77 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 289.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…3f90backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 282.93$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.46 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked MOUZ | 42c | 238.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked MOUZ | 45c | 227.73$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.72 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ | 51c | 226.13$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.33 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed MOUZ | 54c | 225.09$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.55 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…51debacked MOUZ | 28c | 224.6$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 223.35$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 213.27$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.77 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked MOUZ | 48c | 208.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 196.85$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked MOUZ | 71c | 196.52$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.53 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 195.86$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.13 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 193.09$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.24 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 183.84$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.28 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…813bbacked MOUZ | 54c | 183.53$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.08 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 165.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.89 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed MOUZ | 26c | 164.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 156.7$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.55 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 151.32$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.56 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 148.98$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25c9…6b8bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 135.65$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.28 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 132.68$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.32 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked MOUZ | 53c | 128.39$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.53 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 126.34$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaca…51d1backed MOUZ | 54c | 113.45$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed MOUZ | 32c | 109.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a00…e8e7backed MOUZ | 62c | 107.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c52…677dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 106.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.59 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 100.72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.36 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…ae46backed Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a8…09c2backed MOUZ | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 98.08$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked MOUZ | 54c | 97.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES PlayoffsNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.