Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c317bea34aebcfa073796287db9e55482d998928c0418cb0e835e09c620f630
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof MOUZ, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 20,640$10,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,459.5 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed MOUZ | 51c | 13,464$6,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,831.77 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed MOUZ | 46c | 9,347$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.6 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 9,343$4,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,350.63 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked MOUZ | 50c | 4,774$2,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,387.24 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed MOUZ | 48c | 3,333$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.51 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed MOUZ | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 2,979$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.35 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 2,850$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.04 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 2,643$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.93 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…d63cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 2,503$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.74 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 2,298$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.21 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ | 56c | 2,007$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.25 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed MOUZ | 50c | 1,973$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.25 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 1,838$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.88 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 1,810$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.1 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 1,809$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.96 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed MOUZ | 46c | 1,756$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.71 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed MOUZ | 42c | 1,746$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.48 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 71c | 1,689$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.44 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 1,669$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.23 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed MOUZ | 50c | 1,564$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.99 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 1,502$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.9 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed MOUZ | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.99 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked MOUZ | 52c | 1,427$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked MOUZ | 50c | 1,232$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.69 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed MOUZ | 54c | 1,157$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.83 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 1,110$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.4 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…20a2backed MOUZ | 3c | 1,093$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 50c | 1,088$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.1 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed MOUZ | 7c | 1,050$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 1,031$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.71 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 1,025$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.65 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 1,018$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.26 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 998.68$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.31 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 987.15$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.31 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed MOUZ | 51c | 985.07$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.39 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed MOUZ | 51c | 965.38$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.34 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 900$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 890.54$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.98 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 866.83$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.53 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 820$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed MOUZ | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked MOUZ | 2c | 743.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MOUZ | 44c | 700.95$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.5 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…b30bbacked MOUZ | 5c | 689.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 654.82$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.77 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed MOUZ | 36c | 623.92$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.03 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked MOUZ | 53c | 592.12$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.56 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked MOUZ | 50c | 555.04$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.2 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed MOUZ | 53c | 510.07$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.13 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…ea40backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 487.18$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.33 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 474.18$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.55 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked MOUZ | 47c | 456.56$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.65 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 426.8$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.4 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 421.55$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.99 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 418.16$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.26 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c9…6b8bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 398.15$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.07 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 48c | 382.88$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.32 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4514…4c39backed MOUZ | 56c | 380$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed MOUZ | 45c | 377.79$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 358.29$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.72 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed MOUZ | 20c | 342.79$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.91 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed MOUZ | 49c | 320.91$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.28 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed MOUZ | 49c | 296.76$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.41 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed MOUZ | 34c | 285.65$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.02 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 284.57$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.75 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 283.45$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.73 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 277.96$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.74 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 267.39$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.1 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 255.16$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.1 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 252.2$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.1 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 251.17$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.82 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 250$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9d…cb94backed MOUZ | 4c | 242.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed MOUZ | 45c | 241.75$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.79 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked MOUZ | 69c | 240.75$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.49 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 238$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked MOUZ | 47c | 234.05$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c52…677dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 225.75$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.57 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed MOUZ | 50c | 224$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 215.34$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.67 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a8…09c2backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 196.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.46 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaca…51d1backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 191.94$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.62 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed MOUZ | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…813bbacked MOUZ | 31c | 171.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked MOUZ | 20c | 165.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ | 51c | 165.09$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.2 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed MOUZ | 33c | 145.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…51debacked MOUZ | 33c | 134.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked MOUZ | 48c | 128$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.24 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…e2e6backed Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 126.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 126.08$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.45 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 124.59$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.31 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed MOUZ | 47c | 124.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 122.02$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 121.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 117$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES PlayoffsNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.