TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c9d…cb94

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
138
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Dota2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT5738.6%22 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.21
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.18
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+166.4%+$62.46
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.81
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.24
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.08
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$85.37
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on May 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+98.2%+$58.21
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on May 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+164.6%+$62.69
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.07
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.83
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$78
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.12
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+900%+$90
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.59
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+198.5%+$323.68
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+113.4%+$47.96
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.08
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.87
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.46
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+129.5%+$57.55
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2737%10 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.9
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.29
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.56
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.58
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.61
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+239%+$140.99
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+91.5%+$49.18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.87
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$78
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.72
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+180.5%+$64.74
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.07
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+205.3%+$67.25
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+198.5%+$53.2
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.89
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+121.3%+$47.45
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$40.8
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.49
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+297.1%+$50.46
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-40.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.95
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.61
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.89
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stagebacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked The Huns Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Rio 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$33.58
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.94
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.22
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.78
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.08
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$26.89
All 24 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.37
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$76
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.8
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.39
All 8 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-42.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$33.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$22.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.