World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd06f49b1cc8720e481fdae1c379440622a0935b8398563d7142a83c409cf9888
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 75c | 338.37$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.02 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 43c | 318.97$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.95 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 32c | 285.85$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.26 | 275 | 21.8%60 W · 215 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 26c | 273.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.47 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 34c | 267.04$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 63c | 263.12$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.96 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed No | 12c | 261.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 221 | 11.3%25 W · 196 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 18c | 231.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 50c | 225.91$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.6 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb4…4e22backed Yes | 61c | 224.91$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.89 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 23c | 208.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 20c | 195.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 63c | 194.27$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.16 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 44c | 136.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b6…0d76backed Yes | 53c | 131.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 29c | 130$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 53c | 127.46$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.03 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 41c | 126.16$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.27 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac6c…ff17backed Yes | 75c | 122.26$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 31c | 120$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 69c | 120$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 75 | 82.7%62 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cff…468bbacked Yes | 78c | 113.87$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 49c | 102.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9d…cb94backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…28f0backed Yes | 61c | 98.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Yes | 48c | 96.76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.02 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed Yes | 77c | 88.93$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6961…511bbacked Yes | 72c | 87.35$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 43c | 86.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd540…f3dbbacked Yes | 62c | 85.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 65c | 83.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…3604backed Yes | 42c | 80.36$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 38c | 79.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…d53dbacked No | 54c | 79.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 41c | 77.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f73…a5f2backed Yes | 55c | 74.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed No | 68c | 73.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed No | 33c | 71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 62cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…82f9backed No | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 65c | 65.08$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed Yes | 48c | 64.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 39c | 58.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 34c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 35c | 57.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 31c | 57.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 49c | 53.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa94d…cdffbacked Yes | 57c | 52.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 28c | 49.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eaa…3561backed Yes | 32c | 46.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…8f69backed Yes | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507d…7d9bbacked No | 46c | 43.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Yes | 68c | 43.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 66c | 42.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…b2a7backed Yes | 68c | 41.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 31c | 41.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…6f5fbacked Yes | 49c | 41.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 59c | 40.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4308backed Yes | 75c | 40.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…1df1backed Yes | 40c | 39.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked Yes | 77c | 39.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 34c | 37.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf127…da86backed No | 72c | 37.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 48c | 37.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f43…a1dfbacked Yes | 31c | 37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce05…ff90backed Yes | 41c | 37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed No | 70c | 36.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 58c | 34.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4386…59ddbacked Yes | 59c | 33.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 64c | 32.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 38c | 31.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…d06bbacked Yes | 68c | 31.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ee…983cbacked Yes | 56c | 31.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…8cebbacked No | 37c | 30.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 52c | 30.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked No | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 72c | 29.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…97d8backed Yes | 63c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d75…4742backed Yes | 75c | 28.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…9d98backed Yes | 74c | 27.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4139…0a12backed Yes | 75c | 26.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28c0…8eeebacked Yes | 70c | 26.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1a…4d5bbacked Yes | 77c | 25.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 70c | 25.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 54c | 23.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 69c | 23.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…5f31backed Yes | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…40fbbacked Yes | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 62c | 21.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…72c0backed No | 70c | 20.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 63c | 20.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e2…86c6backed Yes | 54c | 20.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on May 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on May 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.