TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9337…72c0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NHL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 54 out of 100; worst Weather at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT7749.4%38 W · 39 L-10.8wins-0.14per pick63cpaid-25.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Weather — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.8
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.26
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.75
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 82°F or higher on May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.33
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.07
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 90°F or higher on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.08
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.07
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$5.34
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C or higher on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+229.1%+$40.76
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.22
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$8.21
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 90°F or higher on May 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.26
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.1
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.65
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.13
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$22.28
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-63.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Minnesota United FC (-1.5)backed Minnesota United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.29
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.84
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$23.85
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$12.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 184.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.