TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Anyone's Legendof Team WE, Anyone's Legend
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,123,159
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,247,282

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,123,159 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 521 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x76cf…9452backed Team WE9c64,748$5,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,922.6210941.3%45 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Team WE21c43,368$8,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,933.7133838.2%129 W · 209 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Team WE29c42,509$12,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,283.8738235.6%136 W · 246 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Team WE38c37,924$14,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,292.6754353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Team WE17c37,430$6,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,185.391,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Anyone's Legend70c35,821$25,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,805.6212664.3%81 W · 45 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Team WE23c26,051$5,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,948.8927735.7%99 W · 178 L-12.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b8f…de20backed Team WE20c20,473$3,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,997.3312652.4%66 W · 60 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Team WE0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203775.6%21 W · 356 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Team WE25c20,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.991,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fc6…9501backed Team WE0c15,107$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Team WE17c15,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5501,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Anyone's Legend80c12,500$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50091854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x883d…3627backed Team WE28c11,689$3,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,310.431127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-39.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c39…36c6backed Team WE2c11,644$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.7212119.8%24 W · 97 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-53%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Team WE9c11,407$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.435339.6%21 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Team WE1c11,200$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854314%6 W · 37 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-55.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31b0…8bf3backed Anyone's Legend79c10,200$8,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,14215153.6%81 W · 70 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Team WE21c10,190$2,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,090.1441439.6%164 W · 250 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Anyone's Legend69c10,157$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,156.8635353.5%189 W · 164 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Team WE32c10,060$3,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,230.3975942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf530…0431backed Team WE0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Team WE14c9,788$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.591,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e53…bf9abacked Team WE20c9,100$1,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,851.829636.5%35 W · 61 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Team WE17c8,699$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,462.312,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Anyone's Legend63c8,556$5,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,165.86650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Team WE28c7,510$2,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,12737640.2%151 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Team WE12c7,500$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92530321.8%66 W · 237 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team WE27c7,476$2,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,026.323,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bac…6fb7backed Team WE15c7,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05018633.3%62 W · 124 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10c3…6049backed Anyone's Legend80c6,826$5,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.571752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Anyone's Legend79c6,574$5,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.5238462%238 W · 146 L-0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Anyone's Legend61c6,325$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,474.667552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4a4…a73ebacked Team WE6c6,053$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.42651.5%1 W · 64 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-96.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked Anyone's Legend66c6,000$3,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,02049541.6%206 W · 289 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Anyone's Legend70c5,567$3,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,670.118971.4%135 W · 54 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Team WE21c5,540$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.8445937%170 W · 289 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team WE14c5,528$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.671,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Team WE14c5,493$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.648844.3%216 W · 272 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21d0…42b1backed Team WE14c5,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7005942.4%25 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Team WE24c4,603$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.861,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Anyone's Legend75c4,251$3,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.6746257.8%267 W · 195 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac5…bb92backed Team WE37c4,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.9911439.5%45 W · 69 L-11.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team WE13c3,716$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.5275630%227 W · 529 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Team WE21c3,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7351,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Team WE9c3,191$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.4534536.5%126 W · 219 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaab1…9b4fbacked Anyone's Legend63c3,175$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.69456.4%53 W · 41 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Team WE22c3,086$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.917647.7%84 W · 92 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa538…12c3backed Anyone's Legend80c3,067$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.687758.4%45 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed Team WE28c3,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84082953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5903…d02bbacked Team WE38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14014327.3%39 W · 104 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fd1…bfe8backed Team WE10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30055639.6%220 W · 336 L+32.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x34a5…9450backed Team WE23c2,982$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70017729.9%53 W · 124 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f1f…00a7backed Team WE11c2,977$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3308324.1%20 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick33cpaid+6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Anyone's Legend64c2,927$1,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.5139859.8%238 W · 160 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Team WE12c2,810$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9325236.9%93 W · 159 L+1.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Anyone's Legend73c2,763$2,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.0157246%263 W · 309 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked Team WE20c2,705$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.4161045.2%276 W · 334 L+35.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f46…b8e6backed Anyone's Legend79c2,664$2,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.663751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Team WE11c2,462$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.6320826.9%56 W · 152 L-13.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Team WE11c2,300$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.992,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x895d…11d5backed Team WE38c2,282$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.094461.4%27 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9a9…3ba9backed Anyone's Legend63c2,248$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.7633845.3%153 W · 185 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Team WE15c2,135$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.0755844.6%249 W · 309 L-27.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed Team WE23c2,047$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.8489943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7829…cfd3backed Team WE19c2,010$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.1128734.1%98 W · 189 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x681b…3d79backed Team WE18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36017749.7%88 W · 89 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team WE21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42023252.6%122 W · 110 L+20.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee7c…70f2backed Team WE14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28048533.6%163 W · 322 L+23.8wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd44f…af0abacked Team WE12c1,949$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.33435.3%12 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeed6…ec56backed Team WE10c1,933$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.3320649.5%102 W · 104 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Anyone's Legend72c1,932$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.4564749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Anyone's Legend71c1,925$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.42,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9772…4867backed Anyone's Legend78c1,923$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.082060%12 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37bd…2a26backed Team WE25c1,900$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47564553.3%344 W · 301 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team WE23c1,728$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.241,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe252…5714backed Team WE8c1,725$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.773713.5%5 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Team WE26c1,705$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.291,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Team WE10c1,670$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16767549%331 W · 344 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Anyone's Legend75c1,623$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.681,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x230b…143abacked Team WE3c1,616$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.471050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Team WE18c1,600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28832939.8%131 W · 198 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Team WE20c1,577$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.061,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Team WE19c1,492$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.0366845.5%304 W · 364 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed Team WE25c1,453$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.2558850.5%297 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Anyone's Legend75c1,418$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.923923.1%9 W · 30 L-6.8wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-59.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Team WE15c1,382$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.351,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Anyone's Legend79c1,367$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.0996057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Team WE38c1,348$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.590537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c6e…1ebfbacked Team WE9c1,320$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.788243.9%36 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09f1…8332backed Team WE12c1,254$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.645646.4%26 W · 30 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+8.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Team WE6c1,250$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.960053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Team WE38c1,201$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.1949847.2%235 W · 263 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Team WE29c1,187$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.0813336.8%49 W · 84 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Team WE8c1,181$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9911839%46 W · 72 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9867…ea53backed Team WE25c1,140$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.5713752.6%72 W · 65 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Team WE8c1,132$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5854824.3%133 W · 415 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed Anyone's Legend62c1,120$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.682554.8%452 W · 373 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked Anyone's Legend62c1,111$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.1614352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadb7…90b5backed Team WE37c1,100$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.