Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbd0d979664234a21ea34c867c3d2bc9f9f57c458f9df88834a04f6e44728bf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 33c | 13,500$4,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,998.4 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 66c | 3,599$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.32 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 66c | 3,367$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Under | 66c | 1,888$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.08 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 33c | 1,633$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.96 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Under | 66c | 1,001$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.9 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 71c | 984.5$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 67c | 624.66$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.52 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Under | 71c | 600$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 34c | 590.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.89 | 205 | 46.3%95 W · 110 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 71c | 555$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.05 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 32c | 535.86$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.68 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Under | 67c | 530$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.1 | 246 | 56.1%138 W · 108 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 70c | 432.99$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.08 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 51c | 407.98$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.07 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 38c | 401.71$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.42 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Over | 63c | 354.71$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.32 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…8c98backed Over | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb46…3692backed Under | 68c | 342.78$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Under | 43c | 327.43$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.62 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa318…77cfbacked Under | 13c | 309.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Under | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 299 | 44.1%132 W · 167 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Over | 33c | 255$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.9 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…7248backed Under | 67c | 237.31$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 65c | 215.76$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.25 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Under | 66c | 213$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.58 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 69c | 201.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.37 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 67c | 177.82$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.69 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…cd9dbacked Over | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…5693backed Under | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 68c | 114.71$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.71 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -19.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 67c | 106.7$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 68c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Under | 66c | 79.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 66c | 76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 32c | 75.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 70c | 75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Under | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 406 | 45.6%185 W · 221 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…831dbacked Under | 66c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 66c | 68.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Under | 21c | 62.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 65c | 60.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 67c | 52.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Under | 68c | 47.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 68c | 41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…0f22backed Under | 67c | 39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked Under | 66c | 33.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -10.8wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Under | 66c | 30.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Under | 66c | 25.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 49c | 24.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Over | 49c | 23.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…9278backed Under | 66c | 15.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…767cbacked Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 101 | 40.6%41 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 2?Team WE won
- Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)Team WE won
- LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 WinnerTeam WE won
- LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.