TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1ff2…dbbd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
120
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NFL, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 60 out of 100; worst NBA at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST3767.6%25 W · 12 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NFL — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$116,546Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$116,545.89
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$26,652Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$26,651.55
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$7,396Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+94.5%+$6,989.12
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$102,073Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+185.7%+$189,563.56
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+112.8%+$78,936.17
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$111,095Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+160.7%+$178,510.48
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97,889Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$97,889.49
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99,983Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$99,982.73
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$134,400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+56.2%+$75,599.96
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$84,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+156.4%+$132,166.63
Spread: Bills (-3.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13,769Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+85.2%+$11,729.42
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+49.3%+$49,253.73
Spread: Broncos (-13.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$109,994Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$109,993.64
Spread: Lions (-7.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59,987Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$59,986.89
Spread: Cowboys (-9.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,555Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$4,555.42
Spread: Cowboys (-8.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45,437Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$45,436.56
Spread: 49ers (-5.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$59,979Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+108.3%+$64,977.25
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$90,769Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+49.3%+$44,707.02
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39,985Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$39,985
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$7,600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+163.2%+$12,400
Spread: Broncos (-3.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23,715Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+92.3%+$21,890.82
Spread: Bengals (-3.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11,469Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+100%+$11,469
Bengals vs. Dolphinsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38,513Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+58.7%+$22,618.74
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99,967Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$99,967.01
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$249,531Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$159,536.02
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST3534.3%12 W · 23 L-6.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Clippers (-3.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42,579Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$40,909.47
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$64,551Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$64,551.45
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$107,999.97
Spread: Suns (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128,965Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$128,964.94
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$98,600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+72.4%+$71,400
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$65,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$65,600
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23,213Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$23,213.33
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$45,060.18
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21,949Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$21,949.04
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$70,683Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$70,682.89
Spread: Kings (-2.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,412Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$5,412.27
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21,306Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21,305.96
Kings vs. Wizardsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55,295Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55,295.14
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$63,652Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$63,652.05
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49,709Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39,057.46
Hornets vs. Mavericksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44,135Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+72.4%+$31,959.7
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24,663Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$24,663.37
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$51,568Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$51,568.18
Spread: Hornets (-1.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44,472Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+88.7%+$39,437.33
Spread: Magic (-1.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$197,731Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$197,731.35
Spread: Magic (-7.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$149,876Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$149,876.18
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$99,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$99,008.16
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$913Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$913.14
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$99,882Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$108,206.04
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$99,983Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$99,983.39
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13,768Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,768.28
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10,846Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,845.7
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$8,508Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$9,987.88
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$112,655Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+101.6%+$114,464.19
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$149,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$149,979.97
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$127,181Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$127,180.59
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99,966Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$112,727.42
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$163,736Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$200,121.44
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99,979Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$63,920.85
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99,880Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+64.8%+$64,767.07
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100,889Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$79,270.03
Kings vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$93,238Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$59,611.14
Rangers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$101,723Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+51.5%+$52,417.92
Kings vs. Flyersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$109,646Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+94.8%+$103,985.73
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$32,611Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+125.1%+$40,810.59
Predators vs. Oilersbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$149,869Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$149,868.82
Utah vs. Ducksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$144,884Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$144,883.72
All 8 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+39.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: USC (-4.5)backed TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19,545Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+92.8%+$18,128.94
USC vs. TCUbacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$130,419Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+163.2%+$212,806.25
Tennessee vs. Illinoisbacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$99,970Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$99,969.95
Toledo vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49,991Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+26.6%+$13,288.66
Washington State vs. Utah Statebacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49,982Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$49,982
SMU Mustangs vs. Clemsonbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$185,594Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+150.3%+$278,982.13
Georgia Tech vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$178,814Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$178,814.02
Louisville vs. Miamibacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$98,690Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$183,281.77
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11,472Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,472.11
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$6,393Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$5,230.6
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$6,485Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,485.43
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$8,740Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$5,356.82
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,486Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,486.32
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$8,487Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2,256.06
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$4,163.27
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$7,687Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$4,139.3
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+35.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58,171Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+88.7%+$51,585.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45,569Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45,569.11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.