NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8335deea6260c620549b71355ff96c396e2620eda6f08dae9fed050fc381b200

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Mavericksof Hornets, Mavericks
Resolved: Jan 30, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $250,953
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $250,864

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,953 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Mavericks	50c	70,633$35,213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,419.69	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Hornets	50c	49,420$24,663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,663.37	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-6.0wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Hornets	50c	15,787$7,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,900.04	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets	50c	15,088$7,534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,534.48	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Mavericks	50c	10,822$5,411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,411.08	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Hornets	52c	10,430$5,374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,373.51	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Mavericks	50c	10,263$5,131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,131.34	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Hornets	50c	9,231$4,616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,615.5	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3017…fb88backed Mavericks	47c	6,379$2,998 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,380.72	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	51cpaid	+99%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89e7…b4adbacked Mavericks	47c	5,505$2,587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,917.65	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8158…d1fcbacked Mavericks	47c	5,387$2,532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,855.11	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+50.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd977…1ff4backed Mavericks	47c	5,307$2,494 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,812.71	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x902a…b410backed Mavericks	47c	5,224$2,455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,768.72	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.26per pick	49cpaid	+50.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Mavericks	51c	4,702$2,398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,303.88	242	52.5%127 W · 115 L	+18.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2240…b9fcbacked Mavericks	47c	4,599$2,162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,437.47	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x38a1…f0afbacked Hornets	50c	4,408$2,204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,204	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Hornets	50c	4,340$2,170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,170	485	46.4%225 W · 260 L	-14.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bea…ce7abacked Mavericks	47c	3,915$1,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,074.95	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+50.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d24…09b2backed Hornets	53c	3,888$2,061 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,060.64	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0010…fe6bbacked Mavericks	47c	3,888$1,827 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,060.64	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Hornets	49c	3,478$1,704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,704.26	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3877…ae19backed Mavericks	47c	3,412$1,604 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,808.36	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef11…72a0backed Mavericks	47c	3,387$1,592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,795.11	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25f…885bbacked Mavericks	47c	3,329$1,565 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,764.37	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Mavericks	50c	3,318$1,667 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,651.22	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…b4f6backed Hornets	53c	3,286$1,742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,741.58	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0698…9202backed Hornets	53c	3,249$1,722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,721.97	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9766…a5f2backed Hornets	53c	3,228$1,711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,710.84	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1256…1523backed Hornets	53c	3,189$1,690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,690.17	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x655a…7c37backed Hornets	53c	3,156$1,673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,672.68	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9814…37b3backed Hornets	53c	3,091$1,638 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,638.23	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ce…dc0dbacked Hornets	53c	3,085$1,635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,635.05	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98a2…4397backed Mavericks	47c	3,042$1,430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,612.26	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b1f…9ad4backed Mavericks	47c	3,018$1,418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,599.54	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ef…1847backed Mavericks	47c	3,005$1,412 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,592.65	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31f6…442abacked Hornets	50c	3,001$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Hornets	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	625	46.9%293 W · 332 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc56e…0081backed Hornets	53c	2,833$1,501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,501.49	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.29per pick	51cpaid	+58.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Mavericks	53c	2,830$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,330.19	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77db…5703backed Hornets	53c	2,792$1,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,479.76	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f58…6f3cbacked Hornets	54c	2,769$1,495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,495	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	53cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks	50c	2,680$1,329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,351.44	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x486f…b325backed Mavericks	51c	2,527$1,298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,229.02	121	43.8%53 W · 68 L	-6.7wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Hornets	50c	2,500$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks	40c	2,496$1,005 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,490.51	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Mavericks	50c	2,455$1,227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,227.42	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks	40c	2,454$988 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,466.52	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks	47c	2,432$1,153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,278.66	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Mavericks	52c	2,416$1,248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,167.79	357	47.1%168 W · 189 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks	49c	2,396$1,167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,228.48	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfded…16dcbacked Hornets	53c	2,379$1,261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,260.72	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…c83dbacked Hornets	53c	2,100$1,113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,113	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Mavericks	53c	2,076$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$976.26	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Mavericks	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b5…3fdcbacked Hornets	53c	2,000$1,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,060	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Hornets	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	66	59.1%39 W · 27 L	+7.2wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb528…32e0backed Hornets	53c	1,993$1,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,056.29	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-51%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf750…a9dfbacked Hornets	53c	1,957$1,037 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,037.21	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b43…d8b6backed Hornets	53c	1,900$1,007 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,007	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba5f…f76fbacked Hornets	53c	1,880$996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$996.4	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x574e…2b4dbacked Hornets	53c	1,776$941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$941.28	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x927d…9db4backed Hornets	53c	1,741$923 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$922.73	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1690…8c4dbacked Mavericks	59c	1,737$1,024 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$713.07	70	64.3%45 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	65cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ad3…5839backed Hornets	53c	1,721$912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$912.13	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-51%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31be…8542backed Hornets	53c	1,689$895 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$895.17	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5997…5424backed Hornets	53c	1,625$861 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$861.25	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x128c…f362backed Hornets	53c	1,538$815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$815.14	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Mavericks	49c	1,481$729 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$751.28	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Mavericks	50c	1,040$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$519.93	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Hornets	54c	1,015$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	157	56.7%89 W · 68 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6768…bc6fbacked Hornets	53c	1,011$536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535.83	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8888…48cabacked Hornets	1c	1,010$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.01	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Hornets	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.12	357	49.6%177 W · 180 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Hornets	50c	866$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433	100	48%48 W · 52 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x983b…fdd9backed Hornets	53c	755$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.15	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0e4…e0fbbacked Hornets	53c	722$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.66	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-51%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Hornets	50c	720$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	238	45%107 W · 131 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Hornets	49c	591$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.59	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Mavericks	50c	511$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.94	196	47.4%93 W · 103 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Mavericks	50c	509.98$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.99	241	38.6%93 W · 148 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Mavericks	50c	453.46$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.73	530	43.8%232 W · 298 L	-25.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Hornets	7c	450.84$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.53	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Hornets	48c	429.99$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.4	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeebe…a934backed Hornets	53c	412$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.36	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Hornets	49c	408.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x003b…02f0backed Hornets	53c	401$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.53	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Mavericks	63c	400$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148	119	26.1%31 W · 88 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets	48c	383.5$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.28	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Hornets	50c	343.6$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.8	321	50.8%163 W · 158 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Mavericks	50c	341.21$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.93	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Mavericks	52c	325.23$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.11	279	43%120 W · 159 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Hornets	50c	310$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	188	52.7%99 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Hornets	54c	277.78$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	332	46.1%153 W · 179 L	-12.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Mavericks	74c	244.18$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.16	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Hornets	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	361	43.5%157 W · 204 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Mavericks	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	235	53.6%126 W · 109 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb178…1fa0backed Mavericks	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Mavericks	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	666	45.9%306 W · 360 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Hornets	50c	198.53$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.97	309	45.3%140 W · 169 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Mavericks	51c	190.12$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.58	216	45.8%99 W · 117 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Hornets (-3.5)this page
1H Spread: Hornets (-1.5)Mavericks won
1H Spread: Hornets (-2.5)Mavericks won
Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Hornets vs. MavericksHornets won
Hornets vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineHornets won
Hornets vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5Over won
Hornets vs. Mavericks: O/U 227.5Over won
Hornets vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5Over won
Max Christie: Points O/U 14.5No won
Naji Marshall: Points O/U 17.5No won
Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Mavericks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Hornets (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event