NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Mavericks: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ccbc5bf20f12682f04c56d462886728657d1dd4b388bd87b0008e556525fc45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $210,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $223,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 54c | 114,835$61,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,858.14 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 30,450$14,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,233.33 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…4535backed Over | 52c | 13,466$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,465.79 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Over | 46c | 13,043$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,043.48 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Over | 46c | 11,413$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,163.04 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 9,709$4,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,221.73 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 46c | 9,535$4,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,148.9 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Over | 46c | 6,989$3,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,774.07 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…2b4dbacked Over | 50c | 5,597$2,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,798.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ef…6f72backed Over | 50c | 5,575$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,787.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b5…3fdcbacked Over | 50c | 5,573$2,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,786.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…bc6fbacked Under | 49c | 5,433$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,662.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c7…af6dbacked Over | 50c | 5,366$2,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,683 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31be…8542backed Over | 50c | 5,346$2,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,673 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x003b…02f0backed Under | 49c | 5,331$2,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,612.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…a934backed Under | 49c | 5,282$2,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,588.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c0…cf10backed Over | 50c | 5,181$2,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 46c | 5,096$2,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,748.67 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Over | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.87 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 3,131$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.46 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 2,594$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.11 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 47c | 2,070$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.52 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd977…1ff4backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927d…9db4backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2240…b9fcbacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb265…2724backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56e…0081backed Over | 51c | 1,971$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba5f…f76fbacked Under | 50c | 1,946$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 46c | 1,946$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.65 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77db…5703backed Over | 51c | 1,943$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7931…6750backed Under | 50c | 1,936$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8158…d1fcbacked Under | 50c | 1,914$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c46…8913backed Under | 50c | 1,891$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bea…ce7abacked Over | 51c | 1,876$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb528…32e0backed Under | 50c | 1,873$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdea3…24eabacked Under | 50c | 1,865$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983b…fdd9backed Over | 51c | 1,825$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5997…5424backed Under | 50c | 1,817$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3df0…6ab2backed Under | 50c | 1,782$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b6…a2fbbacked Under | 50c | 1,763$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128c…f362backed Under | 50c | 1,724$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf048…dddfbacked Under | 50c | 1,710$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 1,700$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…5839backed Over | 51c | 1,698$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…a9dfbacked Under | 50c | 1,659$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6100…563dbacked Under | 50c | 1,648$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x902a…b410backed Over | 51c | 1,637$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9814…37b3backed Over | 51c | 1,584$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e7…b4adbacked Under | 50c | 1,583$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 47c | 1,549$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.14 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…d570backed Under | 50c | 1,527$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e4…e0fbbacked Over | 51c | 1,512$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 46c | 1,350$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 46c | 1,334$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.2 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 1,270$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.1 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 49c | 1,054$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.52 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Under | 54c | 1,040$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 46c | 1,009$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.78 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 46c | 934.78$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.78 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 48c | 560$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.8 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 46c | 500$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.13 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Under | 51c | 474.08$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.78 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 11c | 398.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 46c | 326.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.47 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…b3e2backed Over | 48c | 295.52$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Over | 10c | 251.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.74 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 192.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.3 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 53c | 189.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 47c | 182.73$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.85 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Under | 49c | 145.19$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.64 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 50c | 132.13$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.16 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 124.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb03c…b352backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…df87backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 52c | 99.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Over | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Under | 46c | 91.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab3…35f3backed Under | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 50c | 68.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Under | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 17c | 65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Over | 46c | 63.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9460…97d5backed Over | 46c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c83…3a66backed Over | 46c | 53.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…28dcbacked Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Mavericks: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-1.5)Mavericks won
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-2.5)Mavericks won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Hornets vs. MavericksHornets won
- Hornets vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.