NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hornets (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bb67882948b695867fe9ce432ba46380ac5ce1ec74d611ac31c7fb78fb7ac67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Hornets, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $183,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Hornets | 50c | 53,280$26,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,663 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Mavericks | 50c | 28,376$14,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,193.84 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Mavericks | 50c | 14,284$7,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,099.19 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Mavericks | 53c | 7,552$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,552.28 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff8…6c1bbacked Hornets | 48c | 6,489$3,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,114.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9e…aef2backed Mavericks | 52c | 6,313$3,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Mavericks | 51c | 5,885$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,884.62 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e4…e0fbbacked Hornets | 48c | 5,593$2,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,684.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6100…563dbacked Hornets | 48c | 5,443$2,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,612.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983b…fdd9backed Hornets | 48c | 5,395$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf048…dddfbacked Hornets | 48c | 5,331$2,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,558.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c46…8913backed Hornets | 48c | 5,287$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa94f…ac1cbacked Hornets | 48c | 5,238$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…5839backed Hornets | 48c | 5,205$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hornets | 45c | 5,175$2,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327.19 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Mavericks | 50c | 5,115$2,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.59 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…71ddbacked Mavericks | 52c | 5,022$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,410.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…ab35backed Mavericks | 52c | 5,001$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7924…9d50backed Hornets | 48c | 4,614$2,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Hornets | 47c | 4,290$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.23 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d04…9435backed Mavericks | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…9dcabacked Hornets | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2e…2ad2backed Mavericks | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a0…42a3backed Hornets | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb9…2396backed Hornets | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c50…a2a9backed Hornets | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…8e43backed Mavericks | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x845b…9041backed Mavericks | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…e904backed Hornets | 50c | 3,962$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.48 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…9120backed Mavericks | 52c | 3,938$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.24 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…512fbacked Hornets | 48c | 3,938$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.24 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Mavericks | 56c | 3,921$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.28 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks | 50c | 3,497$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.98 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Mavericks | 50c | 3,000$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Mavericks | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Mavericks | 56c | 2,499$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.67 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Hornets | 47c | 2,417$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.17 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Mavericks | 55c | 2,222$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets | 49c | 2,167$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.8 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Mavericks | 51c | 2,009$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.82 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9814…37b3backed Mavericks | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Hornets | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Hornets | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ef…6f72backed Mavericks | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56e…0081backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,995$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3df0…6ab2backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,984$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b6…a2fbbacked Mavericks | 52c | 1,928$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…a934backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,920$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bea…ce7abacked Mavericks | 52c | 1,902$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c0…cf10backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,859$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdea3…24eabacked Mavericks | 52c | 1,847$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x902a…b410backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,839$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x003b…02f0backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,754$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c7…af6dbacked Mavericks | 52c | 1,735$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Hornets | 49c | 1,714$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2240…b9fcbacked Mavericks | 52c | 1,673$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7931…6750backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,612$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb265…2724backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,596$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Hornets | 44c | 1,566$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.95 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…bc6fbacked Mavericks | 52c | 1,561$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77db…5703backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,549$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…d570backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Hornets | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…48cabacked Hornets | 1c | 1,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Mavericks | 56c | 900$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks | 49c | 835$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.85 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets | 46c | 777$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.68 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Mavericks | 52c | 769.36$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.68 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Hornets | 47c | 757.51$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.67 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hornets | 47c | 730.01$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.56 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Mavericks | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Hornets | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…7a4ebacked Hornets | 47c | 434.46$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…2d6ebacked Mavericks | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Mavericks | 45c | 360.98$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.54 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hornets | 45c | 349.12$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.72 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Mavericks | 52c | 346.04$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.37 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Hornets | 46c | 319.57$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2386…1a2dbacked Hornets | 50c | 319$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hornets | 48c | 216.77$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.67 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Hornets | 45c | 213$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.85 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Hornets | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Hornets | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Mavericks | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Hornets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Mavericks | 51c | 193.37$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.75 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Mavericks | 53c | 190.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.16 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Hornets | 45c | 166.66$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Mavericks | 56c | 157.53$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.79 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Hornets | 44c | 145.65$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Mavericks | 52c | 141.96$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.14 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Hornets | 56c | 141.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Hornets | 45c | 139.89$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.83 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…b2d7backed Hornets | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Hornets | 46c | 131.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Mavericks | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…dedebacked Mavericks | 50c | 114$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Hornets | 46c | 112.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…2687backed Hornets | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…294dbacked Mavericks | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-1.5)Mavericks won
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-2.5)Mavericks won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Hornets vs. MavericksHornets won
- Hornets vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Mavericks: O/U 227.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.