TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Mavericks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Hornets, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,133,888
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,353,026

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,133,888 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,070 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd9b…414dbacked Mavericks41c299,666$124,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124,342.0651844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Mavericks43c100,000$43,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,999.989043.3%39 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Hornets58c89,451$51,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,569.351,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Hornets58c76,095$44,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,959.73534.3%12 W · 23 L-6.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Mavericks17c67,895$11,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,562.391,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hornets57c50,813$29,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,629.679,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Hornets60c39,137$23,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,748.382,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Mavericks0c37,113$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4127943%120 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Hornets58c34,478$20,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,344.571,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hornets61c29,119$17,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,356.912,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Hornets68c27,554$18,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,710.0512951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e6…d504backed Hornets57c26,315$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,315.4321057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hornets58c25,964$15,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,879.725,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Hornets40c25,189$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,189.4421944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Hornets58c25,000$14,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,500.0323257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Mavericks0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Mavericks42c24,496$10,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,288.3229351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Mavericks33c23,040$7,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,516.851,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Mavericks43c23,022$9,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,899.4560351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hornets57c20,908$11,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,911.652,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks36c20,151$7,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,189.384,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Hornets58c20,000$11,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,40031445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Mavericks39c19,474$7,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,687.6728742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Hornets61c18,689$11,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,288.5218140.3%73 W · 108 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Hornets57c16,789$9,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,219.2419560%117 W · 78 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Mavericks39c16,454$6,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,370.8445850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Hornets58c15,554$9,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,532.682,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Mavericks42c15,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,30023245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Mavericks46c14,409$6,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6289852%51 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Mavericks39c13,842$5,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,398.655346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ea…bb01backed Mavericks43c13,400$5,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7625648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Mavericks38c13,345$5,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,065.1889444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Mavericks42c13,090$5,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,497.6313455.2%74 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Hornets58c12,931$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,431.0376746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79e5…9417backed Hornets64c12,870$8,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,591.76165.6%40 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Mavericks42c12,500$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2501,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Mavericks39c12,221$4,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,755.0727251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Hornets56c12,134$6,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,345.0248956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Hornets58c12,000$6,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,04019150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Hornets57c11,627$6,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,999.6315247.4%72 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Mavericks43c11,600$4,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,98814243%61 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Mavericks54c11,572$6,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,271.1414533.1%48 W · 97 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Hornets57c11,508$6,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,944.245658.9%33 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Hornets61c10,422$6,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,064.4340350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hornets58c10,030$5,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,190.793,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x713d…53a9backed Hornets57c10,000$5,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,25018151.4%93 W · 88 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Mavericks42c10,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,20019751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Mavericks41c10,000$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,099.9919048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Mavericks40c9,608$3,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,839.822,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Hornets59c9,415$5,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,890.2119136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Hornets58c9,400$5,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9487468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Hornets61c8,668$5,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,364.191,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Hornets57c8,579$4,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,688.9571547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c28…7ba5backed Hornets60c7,501$4,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,006.8913148.9%64 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35bd…1ecfbacked Mavericks39c7,500$2,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,924.9514945.6%68 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d90…1310backed Hornets75c7,106$5,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,803.1515274.3%113 W · 39 L+22.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Mavericks32c7,000$2,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,211.091,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b0d…9828backed Mavericks22c5,866$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.845238.5%20 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets58c5,814$3,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,421.484,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe194…cd47backed Hornets53c5,810$3,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,732.51764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+71.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2014…9530backed Mavericks40c5,617$2,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,228.84850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Hornets58c5,439$3,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,284.271,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Mavericks40c5,240$2,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,118.9312143%52 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Hornets58c5,216$3,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,190.5254246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Hornets65c5,207$3,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,837.1685344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x807d…1e89backed Hornets59c5,046$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,046.32944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Mavericks43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,15077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc480…0caabacked Hornets61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95013249.2%65 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Mavericks43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1505749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa827…1adbbacked Mavericks39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.992931%9 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Mavericks39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.935450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed Hornets59c4,833$2,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,973.338246.3%38 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Mavericks18c4,430$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.321,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x022a…351dbacked Hornets59c3,647$2,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.96683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick44cpaid+101.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x83e1…b37bbacked Mavericks64c3,593$2,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,293.0416550.3%83 W · 82 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Hornets57c3,555$2,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,52950838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mavericks42c3,500$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4702,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x309b…2c72backed Mavericks43c3,489$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.2840%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7791…af80backed Hornets61c3,450$2,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.567441.9%31 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Hornets59c3,441$2,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,422.3853939.5%213 W · 326 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Mavericks3c3,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9929810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x62a1…bbecbacked Hornets50c3,208$1,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.062035%7 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hornets58c3,159$1,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.1872450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eaa…c090backed Mavericks39c3,101$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.391540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed Hornets64c3,100$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11616540%66 W · 99 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Hornets57c3,093$1,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.21,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Mavericks55c3,020$1,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,661.3937539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Hornets58c3,002$1,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.8420551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd50f…2b9abacked Mavericks42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.9914733.3%49 W · 98 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25f9…317abacked Hornets61c2,845$1,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.72966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Mavericks42c2,828$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.6517646%81 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Hornets58c2,769$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.8239958.4%233 W · 166 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mavericks44c2,715$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.431,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Mavericks28c2,691$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.863,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d9…a6e1backed Hornets75c2,683$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.675667.9%38 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Mavericks28c2,566$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.791,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Hornets66c2,518$1,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.122,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x737e…6c99backed Hornets61c2,516$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.241643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcd…c3d4backed Mavericks39c2,508$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.121963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+31.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd12c…ed3dbacked Hornets62c2,505$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.92352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.