TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x35bd…1ecf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
165
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: UFC, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 52 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT14945.6%68 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 149 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,981Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,980.8
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,360Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$640
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$960
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,880
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,249Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+34.9%+$785.82
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,261Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+42.9%+$540.29
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,420Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+122.2%+$4,179.44
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,071Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$3,070.99
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,801Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+56.3%+$2,700.36
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,577Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+104.1%+$3,722.96
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+66.7%+$2,800
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+33.3%+$325
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,801Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$4,800.6
76ers vs. Sunsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,408Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+108.3%+$3,691.48
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,039Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,039.45
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,163Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$6,162.72
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,264Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$3,535.79
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,030.26
Hornets vs. Rocketsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,146Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+148%+$4,655.43
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,625Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,624.98
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,024Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$3,275.99
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,187Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$4,186.98
Magic vs. Thunderbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,827Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,826.71
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+257.1%+$1,080.72
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$3,759.97
Showing 25 of 149 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$172
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,276Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+134.9%+$1,721.17
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,342Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,342
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.88
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$275
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$5,035
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$170.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Ramazan Temirov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.