MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x442276bea8d5ad96bb4f0d628d22821c3fd589ddbb7e4364f8b160a7d6fa3a16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Washington Nationals, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $554,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $633,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $554,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 66,666$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,666.26 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 64,716$39,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,476.54 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 32,808$20,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,279.87 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 32,258$12,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 15c | 30,411$4,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,474.86 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 24,189$8,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,422.09 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cleveland Guardians | 17c | 17,473$2,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,901.81 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 12c | 15,683$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.28 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 12,821$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,820.51 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 12,779$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,778.56 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 12,500$7,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,624.97 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 11,798$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314.8 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Cleveland Guardians | 8c | 10,666$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.14 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 9,439$3,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,852.32 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 0c | 8,482$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -30%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Cleveland Guardians | 19c | 8,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.85 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cleveland Guardians | 0c | 6,600$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Cleveland Guardians | 6c | 6,509$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.71 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 5,500$3,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,410 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 4,997$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050.15 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 5c | 4,455$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.73 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Cleveland Guardians | 30c | 3,370$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 3,359$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.52 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 15c | 3,306$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.84 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Washington Nationals | 74c | 3,173$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.26 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Washington Nationals | 74c | 3,163$2,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.5 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 3,146$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.99 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cleveland Guardians | 30c | 2,231$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.81 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 2,200$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 5c | 2,170$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.45 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Cleveland Guardians | 13c | 2,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 1,913$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.9 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 1,574$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Cleveland Guardians | 1c | 1,521$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 1,510$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.11 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 1,427$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.74 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Cleveland Guardians | 8c | 1,420$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.69 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…ba59backed Washington Nationals | 70c | 1,342$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…0121backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 1,200$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 21c | 1,167$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.86 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 1,101$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…7ba5backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 1,100$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 1,078$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.21 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 1,030$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.3 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Cleveland Guardians | 5c | 1,010$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Cleveland Guardians | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 956.86$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.02 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f6…0f69backed Cleveland Guardians | 21c | 921.34$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.92 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 903.25$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.98 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 14c | 866.93$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.77 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 18c | 861.82$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.13 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals | 76c | 849.1$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.93 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 8c | 845.45$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 770$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.7 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals | 77c | 698.73$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.78 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Cleveland Guardians | 24c | 664.47$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.55 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 650$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 644.85$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.81 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 600$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 575.08$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.28 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 564.52$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Cleveland Guardians | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 524.19$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 512.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.42 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Washington Nationals | 68c | 508.23$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.25 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 500.01$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.01 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 9c | 500$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e35…fe8cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 495.16$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 483.18$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.29 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Cleveland Guardians | 12c | 445$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…f29bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 423.34$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.47 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 421.38$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.04 | 253 | 51.8%131 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Cleveland Guardians | 25c | 399.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 395.16$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 394.82$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.79 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 384.98$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.69 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dec…c92dbacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 371.79$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.79 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb197…4e02backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 367$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.87 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 366.18$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.84 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Nationals | 73c | 359.77$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.32 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 21c | 354.64$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.69 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 347.91$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.74 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…a8aebacked Cleveland Guardians | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 324$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.64 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Washington Nationals | 64c | 310.48$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.03 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 9c | 309.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 302$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.22 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 300.03$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.33 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals | 79c | 298.65$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.12 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 279.79$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.64 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…f457backed Cleveland Guardians | 15c | 273.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…e5c0backed Cleveland Guardians | 10c | 272.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 112 | 28.6%32 W · 80 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-5.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-6.5)Washington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 11.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 12.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 13.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 14.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.