TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Celtics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,174,841
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,560,789

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,174,841 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,969 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d19…f2f9backed Knicks49c518,500$255,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263,2551050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b88…5cebbacked Celtics51c518,500$263,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263,255944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bd7…373ebacked Celtics60c251,666$151,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150,999.589350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Knicks39c150,000$58,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,499.979043.3%39 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Celtics59c131,312$77,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,779.231,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Knicks40c121,714$49,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,457.5822453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Celtics60c100,000$60,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,0001,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks40c90,723$36,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,355.354,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Celtics60c75,000$44,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,949.9219751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Knicks40c72,659$29,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,595.3919560%117 W · 78 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff36…e757backed Knicks40c70,000$28,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,00011547%54 W · 61 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0462…cddebacked Knicks41c55,000$22,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,500742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Celtics28c41,150$11,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,374.82,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks40c40,775$16,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,631.914,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e9…4044backed Celtics61c40,416$24,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,499.519053.3%48 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Knicks40c40,080$16,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,047.951,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Knicks41c40,000$16,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,799.9521951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics4c37,428$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.594,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Knicks40c35,000$14,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,839.2931445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Celtics60c34,894$20,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,938.371,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Knicks40c33,420$13,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,05220948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Celtics59c30,000$17,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,70019645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Celtics60c28,620$17,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,241.7945850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Knicks42c28,545$11,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,556.1361851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Celtics0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb7f…9550backed Celtics49c21,399$10,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,403.341850%9 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Knicks62c20,615$12,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,794.875,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Celtics6c18,986$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.3983039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Celtics60c18,818$11,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,375.372,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe021…e299backed Celtics61c18,500$11,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,34810035%35 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x19be…2541backed Knicks39c18,500$7,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,347.939758.8%57 W · 40 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd915…1d54backed Knicks39c18,300$7,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,173.842965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe6e…ddf7backed Celtics61c18,299$11,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,173.433129%9 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-47.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed Knicks40c17,433$6,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,459.683351.5%17 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0072…3d75backed Celtics60c16,970$10,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,181.9214738.1%56 W · 91 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x079e…8254backed Knicks64c14,194$9,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,132.315750.9%29 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc57f…e9d1backed Celtics58c14,000$8,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,120450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Knicks44c13,714$6,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,682.292,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Knicks41c13,660$5,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,059.6428742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Celtics61c13,000$7,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,929.9920349.8%101 W · 102 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c91…b9d4backed Knicks40c13,000$5,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,779.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Knicks40c12,702$5,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,621.213142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Knicks40c12,500$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,50024549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…db04backed Knicks42c12,405$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,204.753056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Knicks40c12,245$4,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,3478748.3%42 W · 45 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed Knicks39c11,000$4,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,71014450.7%73 W · 71 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed Celtics57c10,940$6,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,193.0215643.6%68 W · 88 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks59c10,930$6,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,453.523,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Knicks40c10,745$4,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,44724744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4c9…cd97backed Celtics61c10,600$6,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,4668640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbab7…bc7cbacked Knicks39c10,600$4,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,465.999054.4%49 W · 41 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Knicks40c10,230$4,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,138.2728649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Knicks40c10,064$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,064.11,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Celtics61c10,000$6,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,05012245.1%55 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Knicks62c9,438$5,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,552.5448956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Celtics61c9,144$5,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,579.091,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc480…0caabacked Celtics61c9,000$5,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,49013249.2%65 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fc…050cbacked Knicks39c9,000$3,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,489.988052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Knicks41c8,149$3,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,807.9119957.8%115 W · 84 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked Knicks39c8,001$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,880.6114055.7%78 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x35bd…1ecfbacked Celtics60c8,001$4,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,800.614945.6%68 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x164f…e23ebacked Celtics61c8,000$4,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8801553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks40c7,939$3,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,769.653,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Celtics6c7,718$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.131,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Celtics61c7,700$4,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,69748054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Knicks42c7,614$3,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3791,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Celtics3c7,514$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.929352.6%154 W · 139 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Celtics59c7,005$4,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,127.385251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3934…8352backed Knicks39c6,916$2,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,218.763658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x60d6…d1e3backed Celtics22c6,822$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50019949.7%99 W · 100 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e8…da11backed Celtics22c6,814$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,502.53655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Celtics40c6,187$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,474.6315349%75 W · 78 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Celtics60c6,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.9835251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Celtics57c5,970$3,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,414.942,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Knicks62c5,628$3,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,126.33,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Knicks40c5,453$2,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,271.541954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Knicks61c5,430$3,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,117.7452460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Knicks39c5,355$2,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,289.869344.1%41 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bb7…2a2ebacked Knicks39c5,128$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,128.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd347…8b85backed Celtics61c5,082$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,100.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Celtics60c5,000$2,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9908754%47 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Celtics39c5,000$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,929.9832957.4%189 W · 140 L+18.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95b5…3f5ebacked Knicks71c4,929$3,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.992740.7%11 W · 16 L-5.5wins-0.20per pick61cpaid-33.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xafdf…522cbacked Celtics61c4,918$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Knicks61c4,900$2,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9118153.1%43 W · 38 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a52…1955backed Knicks39c4,872$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,971.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4957…984ebacked Knicks39c4,732$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,886.521675%12 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+41.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xac3b…4de3backed Celtics61c4,732$2,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,886.521136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-34.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4f5…1079backed Knicks77c4,672$3,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.845048%24 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb2f…936abacked Celtics44c4,592$2,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,041.167150.7%36 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Celtics52c4,574$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40038649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79e5…9417backed Knicks64c4,569$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.366165.6%40 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Knicks41c4,511$1,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,655.5818747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde7f…2658backed Celtics39c4,331$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.242157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Celtics58c4,252$2,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,472.0629250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Celtics57c4,228$2,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,389.732,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Celtics35c4,200$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45226444.7%118 W · 146 L-15.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x308f…e152backed Celtics48c4,152$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,985.8213652.9%72 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Celtics37c4,043$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5005850%29 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Knicks60c4,040$2,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,615.867638.2%29 W · 47 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.