NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 211.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3ee7730567103b06771b978e87352e8297ba788b868d7a820cbe7b9ad00c514
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bd7…373ebacked Over | 57c | 24,288$13,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,725.03 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 22,522$9,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,666.15 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under | 43c | 12,781$5,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,284.3 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 56c | 6,982$3,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,909.92 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Over | 53c | 6,634$3,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,544.57 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Over | 58c | 4,341$2,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.92 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 4,245$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.82 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 4,148$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.7 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 51c | 2,963$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.85 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 44c | 2,585$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.31 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 2,404$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.93 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Over | 54c | 1,900$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 45c | 1,362$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.68 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 48c | 1,331$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.12 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under | 46c | 1,076$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.92 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 7c | 848.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.04 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Over | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Over | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 11c | 710.54$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.51 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Over | 45c | 615.82$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.93 | 286 | 16.4%47 W · 239 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…39c7backed Over | 53c | 405.45$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.89 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 44c | 344.05$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.25 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2c…222dbacked Over | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…9a38backed Over | 57c | 315.79$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 64c | 311.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.03 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 48c | 289.14$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.18 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 44c | 258.23$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.61 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 46c | 208.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb94…04f4backed Over | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 226 | 33.2%75 W · 151 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 67c | 197.77$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x289e…4df8backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 24c | 173.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.82 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266d…083fbacked Over | 58c | 170.26$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Over | 50c | 136.16$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | -15.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 38c | 120.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.42 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 52c | 112.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 49c | 98.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Under | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…d11ebacked Under | 45c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 40c | 65.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 51c | 65.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Under | 45c | 60.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…93e9backed Over | 59c | 55.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Under | 54c | 54.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Under | 52c | 45.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 44c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 50c | 42.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Under | 50c | 39.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…0c31backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 84.6%22 W · 4 L | +5.3wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f90…acffbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x831c…5ee6backed Over | 70c | 35.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…6fd4backed Over | 72c | 31.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 52c | 25.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Over | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Over | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 55c | 20.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dc…f75cbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x536d…4430backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 211.5this page
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Knicks vs. CelticsKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5Under won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Sam Hauser: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.