TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Knicksof Celtics, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,209
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,485

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,209 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ec1…057cbacked Celtics55c20,000$11,000 inLost-$10,999.993946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Knicks45c14,680$6,606 inWon+$8,07420948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Celtics51c6,579$3,360 inLost-$3,360.139,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Knicks49c6,431$3,151 inWon+$3,279.815549.7%77 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks48c5,078$2,459 inWon+$2,618.668,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks45c1,166$525 inWon+$641.354,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Celtics55c498.18$274 inLost-$2743,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Knicks44c244.14$108 inWon+$135.7291148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Celtics56c244.09$136 inLost-$13623143.3%100 W · 131 L-13.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf456…632cbacked Knicks47c229.74$108 inWon+$121.76450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Knicks44c175.09$77 inWon+$98.052,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Celtics56c138$77 inLost-$77.2841048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Celtics51c100$51 inLost-$5125559.2%151 W · 104 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks47c92.08$43 inWon+$49.24,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Celtics55c90.91$50 inLost-$5028554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Knicks45c87.24$39 inWon+$47.9839756.7%225 W · 172 L+21.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed Celtics55c80$44 inLost-$4417331.8%55 W · 118 L-16.5wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Knicks47c78.72$37 inWon+$41.721,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Celtics56c53.57$30 inLost-$3033249.7%165 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd227…0e69backed Celtics56c53.57$30 inLost-$305869%40 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bdf…b929backed Celtics52c48.08$25 inLost-$255046%23 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Celtics53c45.28$24 inLost-$2416130.4%49 W · 112 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ca7…7659backed Celtics55c27.27$15 inLost-$15771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+55%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x78df…b894backed Celtics53c26.64$14 inLost-$14.122744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.