TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$776,498
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$809,159

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $776,498 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 333 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bd7…373ebacked Over53c128,080$67,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,609.989350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c55,135$26,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,434.29,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c52,608$25,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,582.672,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0462…cddebacked Over48c34,948$16,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,924.29742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cae…a00abacked Under53c17,918$9,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,421.524465.9%29 W · 15 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over31c17,729$5,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,437.558,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under70c16,682$11,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,922.1983039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Over52c14,140$7,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,379.1145850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x668b…005abacked Over50c13,936$6,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,968425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcd…355abacked Under48c13,464$6,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,001.287536%27 W · 48 L-9.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under50c11,510$5,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,777.6170246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62ba…ef56backed Over49c11,205$5,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,490.454358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under48c7,363$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,863.371,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e84…a9fbbacked Under50c7,301$3,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,650.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8e3…5f7bbacked Under50c7,274$3,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35d…1ad2backed Under50c7,262$3,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,631250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd466…ac49backed Over50c7,252$3,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,62610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaae…4046backed Over50c7,251$3,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,625.520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7955…8298backed Under50c7,188$3,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8531…56bfbacked Over50c7,158$3,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,57910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16f6…2720backed Over50c7,121$3,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,560.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8f…9b88backed Under50c7,108$3,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,554250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cda…584bbacked Under50c7,054$3,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under51c7,048$3,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,453.7225049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91e9…4b13backed Under50c7,045$3,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,522.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa857…1dcebacked Under50c7,034$3,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53c9…46f9backed Over50c7,003$3,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,501.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a05…13e8backed Over50c6,928$3,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,46410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf110…27fabacked Under50c6,925$3,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,462.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2eb…fea8backed Over50c6,906$3,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,45320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5767…a6cbbacked Over50c6,885$3,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,442.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b27…2fbbbacked Under50c6,784$3,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f5…7903backed Under50c6,767$3,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,383.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b7…edbdbacked Under50c6,764$3,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eda…58b9backed Under50c6,705$3,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,352.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe272…eef6backed Under50c6,690$3,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…83a5backed Over50c6,581$3,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,290.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x884e…95a3backed Under50c6,547$3,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,273.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x327d…97b0backed Under50c6,533$3,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,266.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+50%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fe1…319fbacked Under50c6,504$3,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,252366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e6b…33b0backed Under50c6,479$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,239.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8efc…5be9backed Over50c6,460$3,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,23020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62bb…8c3ebacked Over50c6,452$3,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,22610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…12b0backed Under50c6,448$3,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,224250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0f9…54dabacked Over53c6,422$3,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,406.58862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2c4…64d2backed Over50c6,356$3,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,17810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x007f…75dbbacked Under50c6,348$3,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd141…764bbacked Under50c6,339$3,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,169.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7a0…9083backed Under50c6,314$3,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52fa…c25fbacked Under50c6,304$3,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee52…8506backed Under50c6,144$3,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a89…f7f1backed Under50c6,135$3,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,067.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Over49c6,123$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.063135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc681…60debacked Over50c6,067$3,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,033.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7f…7862backed Over50c6,061$3,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,030.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3003…bf01backed Under50c5,999$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,999.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under50c5,974$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,973.8141649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf590…4835backed Over50c5,952$2,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,97620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over54c5,926$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2006756.7%38 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c5,909$2,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,050.74,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe14…0a05backed Under50c5,764$2,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x245a…d31cbacked Under50c5,757$2,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,878.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b12…de95backed Over50c5,756$2,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,878560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f5…209dbacked Over50c5,739$2,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,869.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe728…ed3bbacked Over50c5,727$2,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,863.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdde…190fbacked Under50c5,689$2,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,844.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30eb…94c4backed Under50c5,662$2,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b21…2b36backed Under50c5,645$2,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,822.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfde7…91e7backed Over50c5,629$2,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,814.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03cd…92d4backed Over50c5,623$2,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,811.520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe525…5ba0backed Over50c5,611$2,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,805.540%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe013…28e1backed Over50c5,552$2,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,77610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef73…662bbacked Under50c5,528$2,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9668…4b1abacked Over50c5,513$2,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,756.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1356…74d6backed Under50c5,450$2,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,725250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9726…14d3backed Under50c5,434$2,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffab…62f4backed Over50c5,416$2,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032c…ab9bbacked Under50c5,392$2,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6962100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Under50c5,380$2,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,700.1324450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4854…c292backed Over50c5,352$2,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,67610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b3c…21dbbacked Over50c5,334$2,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,66710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09bd…6df1backed Over50c5,333$2,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf2d…4492backed Under50c5,317$2,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,658.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcffa…08cfbacked Over50c5,314$2,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4206…2845backed Over50c5,298$2,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,64910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over47c5,268$2,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,501.314,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe637…7c01backed Over50c5,257$2,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,628.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74c2…7115backed Over50c5,244$2,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,62210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae91…cf8dbacked Over50c5,216$2,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4db1…67d9backed Over50c5,201$2,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2599…9b4ebacked Under50c5,196$2,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aea…2d2cbacked Over50c5,174$2,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,58720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x941f…e58ebacked Under50c5,171$2,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,585.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x166e…ee8cbacked Over50c5,142$2,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,571475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+31.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c6d…2287backed Over50c5,115$2,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,557.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c1…7d00backed Over50c5,114$2,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,557333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb74b…e514backed Over50c5,113$2,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,556.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfed2…4cf0backed Under50c5,110$2,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5552100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bac…ca1abacked Over50c5,103$2,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,551.520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x818c…99d1backed Over50c5,083$2,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,541.520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.