NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf10023fd2aceebe2f1647a741518087f239f8feae2876fb29082c3884cebcf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Celtics, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Knicks | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Celtics | 48c | 8,400$4,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,032.03 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 46c | 5,566$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,538.07 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 47c | 4,417$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.21 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…8e70backed Knicks | 53c | 2,776$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.72 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -12.4wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Knicks | 57c | 2,630$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.9 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Knicks | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics | 48c | 2,105$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.62 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Knicks | 54c | 1,867$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.04 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Knicks | 54c | 1,677$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.08 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics | 48c | 1,127$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.18 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Celtics | 45c | 873.21$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.9 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Celtics | 2c | 638.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Celtics | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Celtics | 47c | 409.99$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.7 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Celtics | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Knicks | 53c | 377.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.86 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Knicks | 53c | 370$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.9 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Celtics | 47c | 319.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Knicks | 55c | 306.79$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.79 | 182 | 40.7%74 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Knicks | 53c | 301.89$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.89 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Celtics | 48c | 259.14$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Knicks | 53c | 258.63$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.63 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Celtics | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Knicks | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Knicks | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Knicks | 54c | 185.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.7 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Knicks | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 64c | 170$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.55 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics | 44c | 164.79$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.51 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Celtics | 47c | 162.18$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.85 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Knicks | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 221 | 70.6%156 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Celtics | 30c | 142.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…4488backed Knicks | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -7.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Celtics | 29c | 137.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Knicks | 52c | 119.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Celtics | 48c | 113$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Knicks | 55c | 104.35$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…3d9dbacked Celtics | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Celtics | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Knicks | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Knicks | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 257 | 52.5%135 W · 122 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Knicks | 53c | 84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Knicks | 55c | 79.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…c031backed Knicks | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Celtics | 46c | 65.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Knicks | 57c | 53.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks | 63c | 50.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Celtics | 48c | 49.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Knicks | 57c | 49.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Celtics | 40c | 42.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Celtics | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 326 | 54.3%177 W · 149 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Celtics | 47c | 39.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Celtics | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Knicks | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Celtics | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Knicks | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f80…d2ecbacked Knicks | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Knicks | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Celtics | 44c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Celtics | 47c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Knicks | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Celtics | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Knicks | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Celtics | 46c | 21.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Knicks | 55c | 19.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 442 | 43.7%193 W · 249 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)this page
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Knicks vs. CelticsKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5Under won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Sam Hauser: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.