TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Celtics, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$775,252
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$786,068

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $775,252 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 504 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x668b…005abacked Knicks48c161,577$77,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,019.97425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5227…f9bdbacked Celtics52c24,101$12,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,619.9910252.9%54 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Knicks50c20,227$10,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,129.6659347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Celtics52c14,000$7,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,219.981,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Celtics48c12,082$5,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,799.3365750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks47c11,870$5,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,247.844,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Knicks50c11,503$5,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,803.52,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Celtics52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20035450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0462…cddebacked Knicks49c9,999$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.71742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Knicks49c8,784$4,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,507.21,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c6…caa4backed Celtics52c8,545$4,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,443.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eb4…be7dbacked Knicks48c8,036$3,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,178.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Celtics53c8,000$4,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,24046145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d66…51bebacked Knicks48c7,628$3,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,966.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a7f…76bfbacked Knicks48c7,502$3,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,901.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Knicks48c7,457$3,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,863.2638750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78b8…8ce7backed Knicks48c7,430$3,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,863.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75e0…a717backed Knicks48c7,295$3,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,793.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d1…42fcbacked Knicks48c7,220$3,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,754.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Knicks49c7,205$3,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,675.3649246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb8e…7268backed Knicks48c7,122$3,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,703.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7df0…c14fbacked Knicks48c7,075$3,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x511c…7e67backed Knicks48c7,068$3,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,675.36333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid-30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ce…b1f5backed Celtics52c7,027$3,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,654.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x120a…05d9backed Celtics52c7,007$3,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,643.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b91…c2cabacked Celtics52c7,001$3,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,640.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6e3…bd0ebacked Knicks48c6,946$3,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,611.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f90…b8afbacked Celtics52c6,918$3,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,597.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x68fb…43d8backed Celtics52c6,891$3,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,583.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba17…71e4backed Celtics52c6,845$3,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,559.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x454f…04e7backed Knicks48c6,837$3,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,555.242755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9726…892ebacked Celtics52c6,836$3,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,554.96862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f63…1868backed Celtics52c6,783$3,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,527.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5971…f361backed Celtics52c6,769$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,519.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3e1…1c12backed Celtics52c6,699$3,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,483.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e60…5665backed Celtics52c6,697$3,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,482.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c5…f90fbacked Celtics52c6,695$3,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,481.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf094…9865backed Knicks48c6,693$3,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,480.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6824…9789backed Knicks48c6,671$3,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,468.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68a2…c90bbacked Knicks48c6,648$3,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,456.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…b237backed Celtics52c6,592$3,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,427.84560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd1b…e416backed Knicks48c6,552$3,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,407.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x301c…a76fbacked Celtics52c6,516$3,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,388.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Celtics52c6,500$3,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,38058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d8…5471backed Knicks48c6,494$3,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,376.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63f8…2a74backed Knicks48c6,441$3,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,349.32333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa348…57ecbacked Celtics52c6,434$3,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,345.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95cb…a800backed Knicks48c6,392$3,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,323.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11d9…8446backed Celtics52c6,377$3,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,316.0430%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53de…f593backed Celtics52c6,360$3,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,307.2333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c9d…9c4dbacked Celtics52c6,323$3,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,287.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4d…e40cbacked Celtics52c6,306$3,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,279.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x135b…5aedbacked Celtics52c6,304$3,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,278.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3298…97d7backed Celtics52c6,294$3,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,272.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29d9…acc4backed Celtics52c6,277$3,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,264.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c1…6119backed Knicks48c6,206$2,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,227.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d11…df2dbacked Knicks48c6,199$2,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,223.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1430…1aadbacked Celtics52c6,143$3,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,194.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9577…2c52backed Knicks48c6,142$2,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,193.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8a…c76cbacked Knicks48c6,129$2,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,187.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6e…5e1abacked Knicks48c6,098$2,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,170.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcda5…9c38backed Celtics52c6,098$3,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,170.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dc4…c61abacked Celtics52c6,051$3,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,146.5230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x433b…1bdcbacked Celtics52c6,010$3,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,125.220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f36…3f26backed Celtics52c6,007$3,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,123.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74ce…bda6backed Knicks48c6,003$2,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,121.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2b4…4db8backed Knicks48c5,917$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,076.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75db…0f13backed Celtics52c5,904$3,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,070.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45df…1887backed Celtics52c5,806$3,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,019.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4221…44d7backed Knicks48c5,794$2,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,012.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa244…98d3backed Celtics52c5,780$3,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,005.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb81e…9b28backed Knicks48c5,665$2,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,945.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec36…76b4backed Knicks48c5,597$2,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,910.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53bb…52c8backed Knicks48c5,587$2,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,905.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec3…c1d7backed Celtics52c5,587$2,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,905.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e8…04a0backed Knicks48c5,566$2,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,894.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0e3…a456backed Celtics52c5,563$2,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,892.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700a…3966backed Celtics52c5,525$2,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,87320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9efb…a86abacked Knicks48c5,517$2,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,868.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd693…3c3cbacked Celtics52c5,517$2,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,868.8420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e55…2fe6backed Celtics52c5,461$2,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,839.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x577e…7c24backed Celtics52c5,461$2,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,839.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Knicks49c5,447$2,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,782.9470246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6700…5e00backed Celtics52c5,403$2,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,809.5630%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7672…0282backed Celtics52c5,392$2,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,803.8420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb19…16ebbacked Celtics52c5,323$2,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,767.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ada…a331backed Celtics52c5,295$2,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,753.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ad1…f929backed Celtics52c5,289$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,750.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee0d…602cbacked Celtics52c5,278$2,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,744.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd250…5e4cbacked Knicks48c5,274$2,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,742.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a6…e93bbacked Celtics52c5,142$2,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,673.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Celtics51c5,141$2,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,628.6345850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x547e…62f7backed Celtics52c5,125$2,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,66510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f06…7e89backed Celtics52c5,106$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,655.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dbb…9f3abacked Celtics52c5,063$2,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,632.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f53…b02bbacked Celtics52c5,058$2,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,630.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfa…c427backed Knicks48c5,051$2,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,626.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2077…1a62backed Celtics52c5,023$2,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,611.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0032…57f3backed Knicks48c5,006$2,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,603.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Celtics50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.