NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Celtics: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x152b8727893f205f85dbe91fe237c9b35844037c62c470018f0d094b9cc8199e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x871e…6566backed Celtics | 50c | 1,553$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.71 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Knicks | 61c | 1,335$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.67 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Knicks | 58c | 1,002$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.36 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Celtics | 24c | 843.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed Celtics | 32c | 265.66$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.17 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Knicks | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Celtics | 55c | 83.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…1208backed Celtics | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Celtics | 54c | 76.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Knicks | 56c | 65.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…d270backed Celtics | 47c | 64.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Knicks | 51c | 49.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Knicks | 50c | 43.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf464…0607backed Celtics | 42c | 40.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…cd31backed Celtics | 42c | 40.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf4…f5e5backed Celtics | 42c | 39.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Knicks | 50c | 39.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked Celtics | 42c | 36.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb122…8405backed Celtics | 42c | 33.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b92…c436backed Celtics | 42c | 32.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…7092backed Celtics | 42c | 30.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…990ebacked Celtics | 42c | 29.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73ee…5d16backed Celtics | 42c | 28.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x862d…bc9bbacked Celtics | 42c | 28.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…749fbacked Celtics | 42c | 26.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6b…7e84backed Celtics | 42c | 26.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Celtics | 42c | 25.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f45…7e11backed Celtics | 61c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf00…9222backed Celtics | 59c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1faa…c1f6backed Celtics | 61c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ec…ed1dbacked Celtics | 59c | 17.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 164 | 61.6%101 W · 63 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Celtics: 1H Moneylinethis page
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Knicks vs. CelticsKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5Under won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Sam Hauser: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.