NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0672edb757eddd3a285c9bdaf2bcda38362fe0ceff9d78c1b4564b0c0fe49006
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bd7…373ebacked Over | 47c | 45,743$21,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,573.43 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 16,017$8,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,560.99 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 5,002$2,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0462…cddebacked Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 53c | 4,075$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.47 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Under | 52c | 3,783$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.92 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under | 53c | 3,747$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.14 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 52c | 3,576$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.5 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Under | 41c | 3,309$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.88 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 53c | 2,977$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.01 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 48c | 2,675$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d8…bd4dbacked Under | 52c | 2,427$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 2,405$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.43 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 51c | 2,402$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.74 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 52c | 2,308$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.73 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Over | 49c | 2,245$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 1,913$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.79 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 1,615$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.2 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 53c | 1,614$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.43 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Under | 53c | 1,547$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.17 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 53c | 1,209$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.62 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Over | 60c | 997.59$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.45 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…2f13backed Under | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 46c | 799.99$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over | 48c | 630.92$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.84 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 54c | 588.58$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.87 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 53c | 496.9$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.74 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Under | 56c | 475.84$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.84 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 44c | 446.48$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.55 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 48c | 399.96$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.98 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 4c | 395.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Under | 54c | 387.33$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.35 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 48c | 334.75$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.68 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 53c | 283.01$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.01 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 48c | 249.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Under | 52c | 213.46$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.46 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 46c | 189.49$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.17 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Over | 15c | 185.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 54c | 185.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.18 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 48c | 144.4$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.09 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 49c | 140.7$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…d11ebacked Under | 53c | 124.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.07 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over | 48c | 121.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Under | 55c | 101.4$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb94…04f4backed Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 226 | 33.2%75 W · 151 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 52c | 80.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 45c | 69.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 44c | 51.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Under | 59c | 46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 44c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 57c | 38.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Over | 49c | 37.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 179 | 60.9%109 W · 70 L | +17.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 54c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 51c | 31.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 48c | 30.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 367 | 51.5%189 W · 178 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 60c | 28.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Under | 79c | 27.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…246cbacked Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Over | 41c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed Over | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 24.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78df…b894backed Under | 53c | 23.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…6504backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5this page
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Knicks vs. CelticsKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5Under won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Sam Hauser: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.