TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$458,362
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$459,112

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $458,362 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 498 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x799c…37f7backed Under52c73,996$38,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,518.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bd7…373ebacked Over49c37,479$18,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,523.189350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x668b…005abacked Over48c34,865$16,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,735.37425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c17,935$9,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,797.439,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under50c12,865$6,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,434.31,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4222…d5a8backed Over48c7,626$3,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,660.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a2d…21cfbacked Over48c7,475$3,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,58820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4617…333cbacked Over48c7,474$3,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,587.52540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05a8…6f57backed Over48c7,321$3,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,514.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe487…0075backed Over48c7,228$3,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,469.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f91…ac56backed Over48c7,121$3,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,418.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc15d…6186backed Under52c7,111$3,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,413.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ee…0a30backed Over48c7,016$3,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,367.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58b3…be97backed Under52c6,948$3,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,335.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9925…1b47backed Over48c6,904$3,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,313.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a7e…65e1backed Over48c6,804$3,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,265.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa830…b448backed Under52c6,761$3,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,245.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc4…01b1backed Over48c6,744$3,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,237.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b6e…47a5backed Over48c6,645$3,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,189.620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd39d…5d54backed Under52c6,623$3,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,179.04475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61a9…c97bbacked Over48c6,604$3,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,169.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa10c…2afcbacked Over48c6,554$3,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,145.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08af…d6eabacked Over48c6,552$3,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,144.96425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-62.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce09…caacbacked Under52c6,526$3,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,132.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc230…3dadbacked Over48c6,519$3,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,129.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x893c…e116backed Over48c6,376$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,060.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c76…f102backed Under52c6,341$3,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,043.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…67d0backed Under52c6,284$3,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,016.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1cf…41f4backed Over48c6,251$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64fb…aa19backed Under52c6,203$3,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,977.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e7f…42c4backed Under52c6,134$3,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,944.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7523…2fb1backed Over48c6,046$2,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,902.0830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x192b…9d69backed Over48c6,045$2,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,901.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25d2…7ba4backed Over48c6,019$2,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,889.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48c0…a436backed Over48c5,953$2,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,857.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebf…bb77backed Over48c5,943$2,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,852.64650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee01…7437backed Over48c5,849$2,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,807.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf867…bd6abacked Over48c5,826$2,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,796.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x533f…4861backed Under52c5,796$3,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,782.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee7…16fcbacked Under52c5,765$2,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,767.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a1f…a0f8backed Under52c5,729$2,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,749.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb9…680cbacked Under52c5,711$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,741.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x134d…8c04backed Over48c5,681$2,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,726.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59e6…3e91backed Over48c5,677$2,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,724.96540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0529…1abdbacked Under52c5,617$2,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,696.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c10…f9ecbacked Under52c5,565$2,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,671.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa925…b7e0backed Over48c5,538$2,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,658.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x34e7…381fbacked Under52c5,512$2,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,645.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe7…2dc3backed Over48c5,471$2,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,626.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc281…fb14backed Over48c5,438$2,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,610.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1764…14e9backed Over48c5,415$2,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under48c5,391$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,791.1615147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb16a…166dbacked Over48c5,371$2,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,578.08650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb7…71b0backed Under52c5,357$2,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.36450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48ec…92fcbacked Under52c5,295$2,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,541.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdca0…f286backed Over48c5,239$2,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,514.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e7a…efe7backed Over48c5,219$2,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,505.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x608b…62d5backed Under52c5,187$2,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,489.76666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x53b3…046ebacked Under52c5,184$2,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,488.32333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x006b…b07dbacked Under52c5,175$2,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc67e…8aa8backed Under52c5,135$2,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,464.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccb5…6315backed Under52c5,126$2,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,460.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d27…1dd9backed Over48c5,081$2,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,438.88666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2013…1d12backed Over48c5,081$2,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,438.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3444…3e0cbacked Under52c5,055$2,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,426.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f6f…4c79backed Under52c4,996$2,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,398.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4db1…ef18backed Under52c4,843$2,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,324.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x810a…17e6backed Over48c4,798$2,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,303.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x823c…e1e8backed Over48c4,738$2,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,274.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8ff…afb0backed Under52c4,737$2,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,273.76333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1937…bce1backed Over48c4,719$2,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,265.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc615…3367backed Under52c4,670$2,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,241.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x858c…d68abacked Over48c4,617$2,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,216.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd203…0eb1backed Over48c4,575$2,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,196425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc796…cc24backed Over48c4,573$2,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,195.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0bf…d645backed Over48c4,567$2,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,192.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf71b…805ebacked Over48c4,519$2,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,169.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe23d…c345backed Under52c4,441$2,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,131.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc0…e266backed Under52c4,418$2,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,120.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd64a…45f4backed Under52c4,361$2,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,093.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe70c…19eabacked Under52c4,352$2,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,088.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d2a…51e1backed Under52c4,336$2,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa231…d346backed Under52c4,308$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,067.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8784…0dd2backed Under52c4,308$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,067.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x738c…a80bbacked Over48c4,281$2,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,054.88450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0990…a390backed Under52c4,245$2,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,037.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9509…974fbacked Under52c4,203$2,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,017.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2600…2ccbbacked Over48c4,160$1,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7086…2f44backed Over48c4,135$1,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,984.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf69…16a0backed Under52c4,122$2,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,978.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fae…96b8backed Over48c4,095$1,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,965.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…6bb2backed Under52c4,062$2,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,949.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ccb…4afdbacked Under52c4,049$2,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,943.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5db1…70f4backed Over48c4,047$1,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,942.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b97…4012backed Under52c3,984$2,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,912.32333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeef0…f1c3backed Over48c3,975$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,908250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd87…36bbbacked Over48c3,900$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,87210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9eb…23c6backed Over48c3,876$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,860.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ea…b7e7backed Under52c3,854$2,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.92333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid-35.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.