NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 212.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17ecf60e463f22486dc0403f208fc4787cd1544d95414f5a447a3e4f77ac4af4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 46c | 2,357$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.67 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 55c | 1,879$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.64 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.07 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 44c | 1,793$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.92 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 1,578$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.27 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 1,135$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.92 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 904.12$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.51 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 46c | 812.69$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.82 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 54c | 780$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.8 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 56c | 666$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.96 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Under | 50c | 401.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.06 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a2…e9b7backed Under | 50c | 178$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 53c | 171$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 50c | 169.52$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.78 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d37…5b73backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 48c | 95.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 68c | 70$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 32c | 68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 58c | 56.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 46c | 42.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 56c | 31.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Under | 77c | 28.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…b328backed Over | 72c | 16.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 212.5this page
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Knicks vs. CelticsKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5Under won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Sam Hauser: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.