TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe9d3…246c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
174
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT14346.9%67 W · 76 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 143 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.11
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+178.9%+$35.78
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.68
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.8
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.8
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.6
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 206.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.96
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+127.4%+$128.08
Will Ace Bailey win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Mark Daigneault win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.67
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will the Orlando Magic win more than 51.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Spread: Raptors (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Celtics vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 143 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.19
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+101%+$20.2
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$18.8
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$26
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$18.85
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+128.8%+$32.19
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$26.67
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
All 23 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Orioles vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+155.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.