NBA · resolved market
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fe1bd3fac672d82df92a875b38eee5e5135940001b645484b845def4d397a96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaed0…6f18backed No | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe444…fa95backed Yes | 63c | 4,658$2,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.69 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Yes | 59c | 4,452$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.83 | 140 | 59.3%83 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 62c | 4,326$2,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.02 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed No | 43c | 3,523$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 67c | 2,896$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.82 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 57c | 2,364$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.04 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 36c | 2,067$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.1 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 34c | 1,984$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 60c | 1,975$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.77 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 37c | 1,954$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.79 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes | 56c | 1,479$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.53 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 71c | 1,394$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.78 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 45c | 1,351$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.61 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 32c | 1,288$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.04 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked No | 40c | 1,270$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.13 | 171 | 62.6%107 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Yes | 69c | 1,186$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.7 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…a993backed Yes | 73c | 1,181$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.71 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 18c | 1,129$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.31 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Yes | 62c | 989.28$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.28 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…2cc4backed Yes | 52c | 945.17$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.37 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…c234backed Yes | 70c | 850.47$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 44c | 786.06$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.31 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 31c | 785$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.17 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 43c | 727.92$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.06 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…7affbacked Yes | 64c | 708.47$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.05 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 49c | 705.8$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.48 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d5…df2fbacked Yes | 78c | 705.51$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +347.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…00fabacked Yes | 75c | 654.89$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.83 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 63c | 627.01$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.56 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 36c | 590.21$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.61 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 43c | 553$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.02 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 44c | 550.12$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.65 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 28c | 500$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 44c | 499.49$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.08 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 46c | 451.13$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…451abacked Yes | 57c | 419.91$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf811…69babacked Yes | 64c | 414.48$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.26 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 54c | 410.38$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.67 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 67c | 398.67$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.87 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…781ebacked No | 35c | 351$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.85 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa184…eaa4backed Yes | 58c | 333.56$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Yes | 75c | 320.69$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.27 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 56c | 316$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.86 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 44c | 311.59$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.54 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 58c | 300.19$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.09 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a9…6771backed Yes | 72c | 282.94$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.22 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 28c | 265.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96c…9014backed Yes | 55c | 260.2$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.41 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf809…b391backed No | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 32c | 244$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.95 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed Yes | 56c | 215$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 44c | 211$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.59 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 78c | 210$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba9…2210backed Yes | 64c | 202.41$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 37c | 197$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 44c | 188.43$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.91 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Yes | 65c | 180$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…0776backed Yes | 56c | 178$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 64c | 174.02$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…3b04backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…3cccbacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ba…1deabacked No | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 33c | 165.31$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 65c | 152$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Yes | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 48c | 138.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 41c | 133.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.09 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea7c…41f6backed Yes | 57c | 129.73$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 53c | 124.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed No | 43c | 121.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed Yes | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed No | 45c | 116.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 59c | 116$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 51c | 105.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7e…28ddbacked Yes | 44c | 102$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…f50fbacked No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c90…2f6bbacked Yes | 78c | 95.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683b…c863backed No | 53c | 94.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 29c | 91.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 40c | 90.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Yes | 68c | 86.42$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 45c | 85.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cc…ae8dbacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…6b2bbacked Yes | 55c | 84.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…80e5backed No | 44c | 84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1971…9afdbacked Yes | 62c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb4…4307backed Yes | 51c | 77.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Yes | 45c | 76.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 39c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ba…60fabacked Yes | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +121.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaed1…34d9backed No | 44c | 69.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…fcaebacked Yes | 70c | 68.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed Yes | 58c | 66.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?this page
- Will AJ Dybantsa be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?No won
- Will Caleb Wilson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?No won
- Will Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?No won
- Will Darius Acuff Jr. be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.