TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe8cc…ae8d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LSU Tigers vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+52.5%+$7.88
Louisville Cardinals vs. SMU Mustangsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Northern Illinois Huskies vs. Buffalo Bullsbacked Buffalo Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+50.9%+$8.66
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+44.4%+$8.89
Auburn Tigers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+69%+$13.8
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+257.1%+$38.57
LSU Tigers vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+51.2%+$15.37
Louisville Cardinals vs. Baylor Bearsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+56%+$11.19
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+51.3%+$25.67
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Ball State Cardinalsbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+50%+$5
Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. LSU Tigersbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+49.3%+$92.93
All 14 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$502.5
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.99
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kyle Daukaus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.4
Will Maurício Ruffy fight Max Holloway next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$20.82
Will Max Holloway fight Conor McGregor next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$27.68
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Dooho Choi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$35.98
Will the announcers say "Guillotine" during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the announcers say "Knockout" or "Knock Out" or "Knocked Out" during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$7.91
Will the announcers say "Takedown" or "Take down" 5+ times during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$10.76
UFC Fight Night: Chidi Njokuani vs. Carlos Leal (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Leal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+49.3%+$34.48
UFC Fight Night: Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+75.4%+$109.39
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Amir Albazi (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+29.9%+$106.13
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$10.06
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+216.7%+$270.83
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$54.13
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+65%+$73.44
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$135.27
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Khamenei public appearance by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.19
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
NBA Playoffs: Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Total Games O/U 5.5backed Over 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$49.95
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$34.57
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.56
Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+56.4%+$183.63
Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Ja Morant be traded before the 2026 trade deadline?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+155.8%+$38.96
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$136
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+32.7%+$21.27
Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+150%+$37.5
Big Game: Coin Tossbacked Heads · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+99.6%+$24.9
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 8 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+35.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$63.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Ass" this week? (January 18)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.