NHL · resolved market
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78e794527d21a251948dba9042c49197dc783349d76742daba2d2f048b707c29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 14c | 9,282$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.24 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x665c…307bbacked No | 21c | 2,939$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.54 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Yes | 69c | 2,791$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.35 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8f…8cc2backed No | 13c | 2,367$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.71 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed No | 17c | 1,800$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked No | 2c | 1,731$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 19c | 1,578$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a6…ee0ebacked No | 1c | 1,532$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 2c | 1,531$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 1c | 1,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…2156backed No | 1c | 1,498$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a7…04eebacked No | 3c | 1,315$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc691…389cbacked No | 13c | 1,304$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…f151backed No | 16c | 1,303$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked No | 5c | 1,271$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…af5fbacked No | 2c | 1,259$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 34c | 1,255$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.8 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1e…58cabacked No | 2c | 1,254$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 19c | 1,043$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.71 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 9c | 942.92$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.69 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 18c | 810.52$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed No | 32c | 773.7$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xded4…c9e9backed No | 2c | 752$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73aa…409bbacked Yes | 79c | 731.33$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…915dbacked Yes | 66c | 689.3$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.98 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Yes | 79c | 667.98$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.28 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…781ebacked No | 13c | 638.56$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.91 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 40c | 616.62$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.06 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 9c | 588$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 20c | 580.47$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.07 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 20c | 535.51$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…3fa1backed Yes | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…95a9backed Yes | 67c | 478.22$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.52 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 12c | 475.02$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…64ddbacked Yes | 67c | 397$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…8f79backed No | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 11c | 335$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 5c | 304$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed Yes | 39c | 296.91$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.91 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435f…522cbacked Yes | 74c | 271.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 16c | 270.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 16c | 257.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…ff90backed No | 28c | 253.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Yes | 66c | 245.99$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.87 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 16c | 231$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed No | 20c | 204.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 31c | 203.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed No | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 457 | 56.2%257 W · 200 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed No | 7c | 194.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cc…ae8dbacked Yes | 62c | 192.89$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 12c | 183.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 7c | 178.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…8954backed Yes | 64c | 168$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 75c | 155.8$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…e2a2backed Yes | 18c | 147.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.92 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 38c | 143.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7980…feadbacked No | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 12c | 141$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 18c | 140$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 15c | 136.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe680…1e2ebacked Yes | 79c | 129.47$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…7354backed Yes | 69c | 124.78$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866e…919dbacked No | 20c | 123.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…bf9dbacked Yes | 72c | 116.95$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a6…f3ccbacked No | 24c | 110.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x955a…46a1backed Yes | 59c | 110.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 21c | 108.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae43…8194backed Yes | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 18c | 83.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3b…da84backed Yes | 62c | 80.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b49…caa7backed Yes | 44c | 74.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…91dabacked No | 30c | 71.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…988dbacked Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 30c | 48.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 25c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed No | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x010b…81dcbacked Yes | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 73c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbabf…e17cbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67c…30d0backed Yes | 72c | 34.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaddb…d765backed Yes | 80c | 32.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 70c | 32.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0de…5c73backed No | 31c | 32.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 53c | 30.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…cdf1backed Yes | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 43c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5add…9e47backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0f…27f3backed Yes | 79c | 20.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2b…aa1dbacked Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…fbeabacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…2080backed Yes | 59c | 18.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…ba97backed Yes | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?this page
- Will Adam Nemec be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?No won
- Will Alberts Smits be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?No won
- Will Brooks Rogowski be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?No won
- Will Caleb Malhotra be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?No won
- Will Carson Carels be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?No won
- Will Chase Reid be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?No won
- Will Ivar Stenberg be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?No won
- Will Keaton Verhoeff be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?No won
- Will Maddox Dagenais be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?No won
- Will Nikita Shcherbakov be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?No won
- Will Viggo Björck be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.