TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0112…4fe9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
296
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Champions League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 58 out of 100; worst La Liga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT12547.2%59 W · 66 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 125 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+153.8%+$179.91
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+152.7%+$42.77
Blackhawks vs. Devils: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Blackhawks vs. Rangersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Devils vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Stars vs. Islandersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
AHL: Utica Comets vs. Laval Rocketbacked Laval Rocket · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Spread: Senators (-1.5)backed Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Sabres vs. Ducksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Lightning vs. Flamesbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Hurricanes vs. Penguinsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$11.01
Lightning vs. Oilersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$11.47
Flyers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Sabres vs. Kingsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Panthers vs. Flamesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 125 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT4949%24 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$9.94
Spread: Raptors (-12.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$8.66
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+58.4%+$21.03
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+101%+$26.26
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Pistons (-13.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+84.1%+$31.24
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.92
Spread: Clippers (-12.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Spread: Magic (-13.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Suns (-8.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$32.88
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Jazzbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+72.3%+$15.19
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+78%+$23.4
Knicks vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Hornets (-12.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT3447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Baylor Bears (-3.5)backed Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$9.28
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-3.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.22
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-6.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-9.5)backed Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.67
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.89
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.89
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.22
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-11.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+84%+$11.66
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+296.9%+$46.9
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Spread: Davidson Wildcats (-6.5)backed Davidson Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.73
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Fordham Ramsbacked Fordham Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.88
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-7.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.78
Temple Owls vs. Florida Atlantic Owlsbacked Florida Atlantic Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$28.56
Georgetown Hoyas vs. DePaul Blue Demonsbacked DePaul Blue Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.79
New Mexico State Aggies vs. Sam Houston Bearkatsbacked Sam Houston Bearkats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.16
Tarleton State Texans vs. Abilene Christian Wildcatsbacked Tarleton State Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Boston Terriers vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawksbacked Boston Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Idaho Vandals vs. Eastern Washington Eaglesbacked Idaho Vandals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.29
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-4.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.87
Belmont Bruins vs. Illinois State Redbirdsbacked Belmont Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.78
Iona Gaels vs. Manhattan Jaspersbacked Iona Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+77.5%+$11.53
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Lulu Sun vs Taylor Townsendbacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10.87
Miami Open: Raphael Collignon vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Miami Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.08
Zadar: Lukas Neumayer vs Nerman Faticbacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$10.62
Miami Open, Qualification: Bianca Andreescu vs Suzan Lamensbacked Bianca Andreescu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+52%+$10.02
Santiago: Thiago Monteiro vs Diego Dedura-Palomerobacked Thiago Monteiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.59
Austin: Kimberly Birrell vs McCartney Kesslerbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$12.84
BNP Paribas Open: Jessica Pegula vs Belinda Bencicbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Majchrzak (+1.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Dalibor Svrcina vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14
BNP Paribas Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Thionville: Sebastian Ofner vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
BNP Paribas Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Mackenzie McDonaldbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
BNP Paribas Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Taylor Townsendbacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+84.1%+$12.61
BNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Raphael Collignonbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
BNP Paribas Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+52.5%+$7.87
Brasilia: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Joao Lucas Da Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Pune: Lorenzo Carboni vs Yuta Shimizubacked Carboni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Argentina Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)backed Fulham FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+64.6%+$16.8
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)backed Everton FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+183.1%+$54.92
Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Will Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+107.3%+$21.45
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+74.3%+$74.31
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$34.6
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$46
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.28per pick49cpaid+73.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$11.01
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+101.5%+$40.6
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+300%+$33
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$20.28
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+186.5%+$33.58
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)backed Como 1907 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.22
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)backed SSC Napoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.89
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$43.38
Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)backed Bologna FC 1909 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+97.4%+$21.43
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+105.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+85.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.83
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$16.88
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+100%+$10
All 3 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+111%+$16.66
Women's Group A - Switzerland vs. USAbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17
All 3 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-46.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USAbacked Dominican Rep. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
First Round Pool B: Mexico vs. Italybacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$76.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.