TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Iona Gaels vs. Manhattan Jaspers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Iona Gaelsof Iona Gaels, Manhattan Jaspers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,272
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,624

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,272 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Manhattan Jaspers39c22,304$8,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,778.995,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Iona Gaels61c14,086$8,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,535.321,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Iona Gaels70c6,079$4,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.6749345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Iona Gaels59c4,013$2,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,645.31,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Iona Gaels63c2,918$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.052,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Manhattan Jaspers26c2,658$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.9270936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Iona Gaels63c2,434$1,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.733,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Manhattan Jaspers27c1,863$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.461,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Manhattan Jaspers37c1,761$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.094,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Iona Gaels70c1,550$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.8343450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Manhattan Jaspers27c1,521$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.571,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Manhattan Jaspers31c953.2$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.6977142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Manhattan Jaspers44c869.52$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.026342.9%27 W · 36 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Iona Gaels70c852.5$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.072,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Iona Gaels58c678.17$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.8313746.7%64 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Manhattan Jaspers44c625.08$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.0329845.3%135 W · 163 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Manhattan Jaspers36c584.26$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.1818439.1%72 W · 112 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Iona Gaels56c529.39$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.9375447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Iona Gaels55c498.3$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.7874152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Manhattan Jaspers42c465.49$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.555532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Iona Gaels54c396.7$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.681,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Manhattan Jaspers26c382.28$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3312230.3%37 W · 85 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked Iona Gaels75c338.52$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.166357.1%36 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Manhattan Jaspers35c326.01$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.085740.4%23 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Manhattan Jaspers45c311.28$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.081,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Manhattan Jaspers46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1382,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb8…536fbacked Manhattan Jaspers22c250.74$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.740%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Iona Gaels58c229.06$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.2110650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Iona Gaels57c224.37$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.4840755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Iona Gaels72c199.73$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5161446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Iona Gaels55c197.45$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8516051.3%82 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Iona Gaels72c182.13$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6893247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Iona Gaels56c173.26$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.091,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Manhattan Jaspers44c172.52$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4649157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1298…97b6backed Manhattan Jaspers46c161.63$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.35425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Manhattan Jaspers43c148.96$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.051,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Iona Gaels56c111.04$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.861,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Manhattan Jaspers39c99.63$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7864647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Iona Gaels49c99.56$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.782,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Manhattan Jaspers44c91.01$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7381528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Manhattan Jaspers45c88.12$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6562140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Iona Gaels56c82.28$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4717945.8%82 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Manhattan Jaspers29c81.8$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.723,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Manhattan Jaspers25c80.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0625239.3%99 W · 153 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6c9…4145backed Iona Gaels57c78.71$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.593551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Iona Gaels73c75.25$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.273,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead8…ce1abacked Iona Gaels72c68.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.312458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd0d…7606backed Manhattan Jaspers31c67.23$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.842839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Iona Gaels57c60.88$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1849849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Iona Gaels55c54.52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.535,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Manhattan Jaspers26c52.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.994036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd425…603ebacked Iona Gaels57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6313560%81 W · 54 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Iona Gaels63c51.17$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1227055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Iona Gaels58c49.57$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8231537.8%119 W · 196 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Manhattan Jaspers31c48.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.231,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Iona Gaels57c45$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3533445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e96…b306backed Iona Gaels56c44.26$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.473542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Iona Gaels73c39.81$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7535852%186 W · 172 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Iona Gaels78c38.23$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.417661.8%47 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Manhattan Jaspers43c38.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4178052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x396a…f2ffbacked Manhattan Jaspers45c33.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.872147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0bb…049fbacked Iona Gaels57c29.91$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.975752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Iona Gaels55c29.74$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2820834.6%72 W · 136 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0112…4fe9backed Iona Gaels56c26.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.533447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9894…65debacked Iona Gaels80c24.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.97955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick68cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Manhattan Jaspers46c21.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Iona Gaels56c19.77$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.716140.4%65 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8510…57e6backed Iona Gaels77c16.74$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.855056%28 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc00c…5fd3backed Iona Gaels73c14.35$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.