TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x396a…f2ff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Golf at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT3961.5%24 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.65
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.71
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.2
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.56
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.59
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12.88
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$24.33
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$19.99
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.61
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.26
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.47
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.59
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.48
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.76
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$23.56
Wild vs. Blackhawksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Utah vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Panthers vs. Krakenbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Hurricanes vs. Lightningbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.36
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.5
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$56.79
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+203%+$96.76
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-6.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.79
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.57
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.78
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$33.14
Dayton Flyers vs. VCU Ramsbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$31.54
Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$31.54
Houston Cougars vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.78
Spread: Florida Gators (-7.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 161.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.78
Vermont Catamounts vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.36
Spread: Texas Longhorns (-6.5)backed Ole Miss Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$38.95
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Texas A&M Aggiesbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.87
Idaho State Bengals vs. Sacramento State Hornetsbacked Sacramento State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.48
Michigan State Spartans vs. Indiana Hoosiersbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.34
Iona Gaels vs. Manhattan Jaspersbacked Manhattan Jaspers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.87
All 21 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.87
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.07
San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.25
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$24.85
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.19
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$41.64
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.27
Detroit Tigers vs. San Diego Padresbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.98
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.39per pick45cpaid+86%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$31.56
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.