MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16621501a2ae1e17d7819545cddc6c76a97927818ed0a6ca193d6f7d5ca33335
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Chicago Cubs, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $656,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $722,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $656,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 202,573$76,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,977.79 | 277 | 53.1%147 W · 130 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75a…90e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 134,152$83,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,977.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 110,000$68,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,799.95 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Chicago Cubs | 38c | 46,606$17,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,710.47 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 38,802$24,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,356.59 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chicago Cubs | 16c | 28,457$4,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,642.5 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 24,000$8,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,880 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 22,556$13,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,571.31 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 38c | 14,906$5,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,629.7 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 77c | 13,891$10,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,248.72 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 11,511$4,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,834.75 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Chicago Cubs | 0c | 10,540$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 333 | 28.2%94 W · 239 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 9,491$5,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.94 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 8,868$3,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,369.8 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 22c | 8,514$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.61 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 8,000$4,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Chicago Cubs | 11c | 7,315$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.61 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Chicago Cubs | 37c | 6,475$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.67 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 6,140$3,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,271.96 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 6,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 5,645$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.05 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Chicago Cubs | 37c | 5,020$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.34 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Chicago Cubs | 15c | 4,915$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.77 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 4,671$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.54 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Chicago Cubs | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.98 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 74c | 3,645$2,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.51 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Chicago Cubs | 8c | 3,214$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.18 | 170 | 14.1%24 W · 146 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Chicago Cubs | 12c | 3,213$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.15 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…5250backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.99 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Chicago Cubs | 13c | 2,940$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.96 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 2,780$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.66 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Philadelphia Phillies | 73c | 2,637$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.41 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Chicago Cubs | 19c | 2,562$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.53 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Chicago Cubs | 38c | 2,407$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.66 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 2,374$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.14 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 2,312$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.67 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 2,100$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Chicago Cubs | 37c | 2,012$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.18 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.99 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Chicago Cubs | 9c | 1,986$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.41 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 25c | 1,907$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.65 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Chicago Cubs | 38c | 1,808$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.09 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 1,638$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.58 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 1,469$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.09 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 1,414$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.53 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Chicago Cubs | 16c | 1,406$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.77 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Chicago Cubs | 19c | 1,388$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.73 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Chicago Cubs | 11c | 1,291$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.99 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…e1a1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 1,250$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.47 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +7.0wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 1,044$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.47 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Chicago Cubs | 10c | 1,041$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.14 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Chicago Cubs | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 999.98$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 454 | 51.3%233 W · 221 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 977.8$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.79 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 962.8$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.86 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 922.29$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.92 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Chicago Cubs | 38c | 886.74$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.96 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Philadelphia Phillies | 80c | 850.22$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.36 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 80c | 834.18$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.15 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 800.49$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.19 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Chicago Cubs | 25c | 790.22$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.16 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 760.11$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.84 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Chicago Cubs | 29c | 739.58$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.03 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Chicago Cubs | 22c | 735.95$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.85 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…5939backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 682.63$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 673.96$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.1 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 656.07$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.18 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 633.42$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.7 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Chicago Cubs | 38c | 603.9$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.48 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 599.08$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Chicago Cubs | 5c | 574.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 564.99$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.1 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Chicago Cubs | 20c | 564.68$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.22 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Chicago Cubs | 35c | 553.37$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.01 | 495 | 40.2%199 W · 296 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 540.45$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.68 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Chicago Cubs | 26c | 531.71$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.92 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 80c | 519.5$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.43 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 508.46$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.13 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77e9…c72abacked Chicago Cubs | 38c | 506.74$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.56 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Chicago Cubs | 38c | 506.74$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.56 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 486.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.18 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf477…7286backed Chicago Cubs | 20c | 480.76$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 469.63$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.07 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1b…5afdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 465.62$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.28 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Chicago Cubs | 14c | 460.52$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 77c | 453.46$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.33 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Chicago Cubs | 12c | 446.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 437.9$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.22 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 426.17$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.98 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…b115backed Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 409.67$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.71 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 402.9$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.96 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dca…ce96backed Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 396.12$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.