MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x399375de1552e0ab9b328a023cc62d78995f1377386e1c39d3fde855dfcd7fa1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over | 52c | 22,233$11,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,671.68 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcd…7ab2backed Under | 48c | 18,019$8,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,649.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 47c | 9,090$4,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,275.43 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 53c | 7,379$3,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,473.68 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 48c | 5,046$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.63 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Over | 53c | 2,567$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.5 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 53c | 2,429$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.47 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 1,908$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.98 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 48c | 1,125$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.24 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…15b9backed Under | 49c | 989.18$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.7 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 53c | 888.58$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.02 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 52c | 885$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.8 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 51c | 665.18$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.71 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Over | 49c | 588.18$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.27 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 47c | 563.24$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.9 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 553.62$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.2 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 47c | 532.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.23 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 55c | 491.32$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.99 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 52c | 455.44$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.81 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 426.92$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.48 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 48c | 415.92$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 55c | 364.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.75 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 49c | 351.89$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.43 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 53c | 278$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.06 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0382…1213backed Under | 52c | 269.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…86f8backed Over | 49c | 268.52$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad77…3d8ebacked Under | 52c | 261.48$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.97 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Under | 54c | 227$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.58 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Over | 46c | 219.65$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.61 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Under | 53c | 218.77$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.64 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Under | 53c | 189.71$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 51c | 159.15$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.63 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 47c | 142.21$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.84 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Under | 48c | 137.25$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 51c | 131.39$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.93 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 52c | 126.04$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 48c | 123.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…c8e7backed Over | 49c | 108.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 53c | 106.9$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 46c | 105.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.05 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Under | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 45c | 96.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 59c | 87.49$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 23c | 87.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 43c | 85.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 42c | 83.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Under | 52c | 77.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked Over | 49c | 75.64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…fc1abacked Over | 53c | 75.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Over | 54c | 69.47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 50c | 67.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 36c | 62.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…0888backed Over | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Over | 46c | 60.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 52c | 59.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2b…02e8backed Under | 25c | 53.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 55c | 51.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 52c | 48.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 49c | 48.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Under | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 174 | 50.6%88 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…0db6backed Over | 52c | 46.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under | 37c | 44.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 59c | 43.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 36c | 40.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 49c | 36.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 53c | 35.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Over | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…5d91backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 226 | 50.4%114 W · 112 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…bb4abacked Over | 46c | 28.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 57c | 28.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Under | 48c | 26.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Under | 52c | 26.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 48c | 25.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 51c | 24.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Under | 49c | 24.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Under | 50c | 23.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…f190backed Under | 54c | 19.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 70c | 14.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ee…c29fbacked Over | 79c | 12.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5this page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.