TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7c2b…02e8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
38
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-44%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$10.65
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.84
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.04
Avalanche vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
Avalanche vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Spread: Blues (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.82
Sharks vs. Predators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Sharks vs. Predators: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Spread: Flyers (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.54
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+220.3%+$68.19
Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.79
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.5%+$25.37
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.9
Stars vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.8
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.68
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.71
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.16
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+388.9%+$105.15
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.81
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.37
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+97.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Santa Cruz: Juan Estevez vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Juan Estevez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Lanús vs. CA Banfield end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$33.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.