MLB · resolved market
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe15ddb14eddd3354080ea2958718882129f7c42cc5a1bd4d23ddd0456e9a5773
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Pittsburgh Pirates, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb5b…8e29backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 8,055$3,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,146.49 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 4,547$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.09 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 4,140$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.13 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 3,750$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.34 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 3,515$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.85 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.99 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 2,104$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.06 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 1,000$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 968.8$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec9…2f29backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 674.74$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 525.78$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.4 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 366.71$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.36 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 340$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.8 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 302.75$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.43 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2b…02e8backed Washington Nationals | 18c | 282.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9963…7527backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 272.1$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…86c8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 269.33$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 242.2$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.94 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 196$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 187.09$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.16 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 185.92$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 183.05$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Washington Nationals | 60c | 175.02$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.86 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 163$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.76 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Washington Nationals | 10c | 155.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb20f…5737backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 147.13$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.51 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 135.8$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Washington Nationals | 10c | 127.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Washington Nationals | 12c | 117.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 90.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2f…1b25backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 78.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcc…45f6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 69.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 66.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 64.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 58.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 56.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 54.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…4db6backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 53.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3323…f667backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 51.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 49.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 48.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 48.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 48.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…235cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 39.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 38.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abb…d57cbacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 36.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…abe7backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 35.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 29.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 25.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 25.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 25.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 23.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…10d9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 21.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-10.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh PiratesPittsburgh Pirates won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 14.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.