MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07f4fa68519d5bdd518e8f8af847eaf6c9b6cf62596ef25c79271eb00eae89ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 52c | 15,473$8,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,426.93 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 52c | 10,071$5,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,237.1 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 5,895$2,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,770.69 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 48c | 5,867$2,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820.56 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 3,104$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Under | 48c | 2,493$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.47 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 53c | 2,430$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.86 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Under | 52c | 2,078$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.75 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…672abacked Over | 46c | 2,018$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.52 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 48c | 1,690$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.06 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Over | 53c | 1,375$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.34 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 49c | 1,134$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.42 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 1,110$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.12 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 48c | 1,088$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.76 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 49c | 1,071$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.83 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 54c | 1,050$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a9…4d64backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Under | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed1…89cdbacked Under | 52c | 999.97$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8c…2f40backed Over | 48c | 991.29$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 52c | 971.2$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.02 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 49c | 948.93$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.79 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 52c | 827.57$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.41 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 54c | 812.09$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.23 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d8…ac72backed Over | 53c | 806.78$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 755.39$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.12 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 700.02$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.01 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Under | 48c | 678.16$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.52 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 50c | 550.26$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.59 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 49c | 503.82$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.83 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Under | 52c | 485.6$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.51 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Under | 48c | 407.3$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.5 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Under | 48c | 407.09$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.4 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 49c | 391.92$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 49c | 317.47$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.52 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 49c | 317.47$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.52 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 49c | 317.47$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.52 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 49c | 317.47$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.52 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 48c | 302.75$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 276.84$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.06 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Under | 50c | 235.15$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.7 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 47c | 228.97$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.69 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 57c | 220$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 49c | 199.38$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.48 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Over | 49c | 199.38$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.48 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 194.8$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.21 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 53c | 189.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.07 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 45c | 188.51$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.92 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 52c | 186.26$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.32 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Under | 53c | 184.61$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 48c | 178.1$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.61 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Over | 47c | 170.55$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.39 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 55c | 169.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 47c | 169.44$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.8 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Under | 52c | 163.58$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.06 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299d…e85fbacked Over | 53c | 155.86$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.25 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Over | 48c | 139.24$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -9.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 48c | 139.24$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 48c | 139.24$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 48c | 139.24$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 48c | 139.24$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 53c | 128.36$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.33 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 52c | 122.17$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 53c | 105.93$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…9715backed Under | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Over | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Over | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Under | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Under | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 52c | 97.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723d…05d7backed Over | 53c | 95.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.77 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…34b4backed Over | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Over | 53c | 85.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 50c | 85.38$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Over | 49c | 80.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f8…2e4cbacked Over | 51c | 76.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 52c | 76.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8e…8132backed Over | 53c | 74.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c1…ab1ebacked Over | 53c | 74.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…07d1backed Over | 53c | 73.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…bb4abacked Over | 48c | 66.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7192…7000backed Over | 53c | 64.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 47c | 55.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 48c | 54.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Over | 53c | 54.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Over | 53c | 52.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked Over | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Under | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 174 | 50.6%88 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 53c | 48.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 52c | 48.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 48.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-10.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh PiratesPittsburgh Pirates won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 14.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.