TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x299d…e85f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
128
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT4553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.22
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.89
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.06
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.03
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$55.25
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.25
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$19.9
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.93
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.43
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$22.41
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+125.7%+$14.7
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.54
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.28
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2.87
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$17.95
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+88.4%+$19.68
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+103.8%+$31.43
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.27
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$42.01
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.02
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.57
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+97.8%+$18.08
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+121.2%+$13.4
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$17.75
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$11.71
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.5
San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.49
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Athletics vs. Texas Rangersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.21
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20.71
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$44.6
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.55
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.54
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.82
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$73.25
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+105.9%+$14.6
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.46
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.29
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.28
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.61
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.97
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.22
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$116.82
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+132.1%+$15.49
All 24 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Hurricanes vs. Flyers backed Canes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.4
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.89
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.37
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$12.73
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$12.78
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.38
Ducks vs. Predators: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Jets vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$5.71
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$15.9
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Canucks vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$10.78
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mauthausen: Jaime Faria vs Darwin Blanchbacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Huzhou: Katarzyna Kawa vs Hanyu Guobacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+103.9%+$10.47
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+121.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$12.02
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$18.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+86.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.2
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+130.5%+$24.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$82.09
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.93
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+177.1%+$124.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.