TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,022
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,318

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,022 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xce90…d285backed Over77c5,634$4,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,338.38540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick70cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under46c5,568$2,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,032.9196942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c3,864$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,089.052,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over26c3,677$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.653023.3%7 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0d8…6052backed Under43c2,897$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,651.36450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d4…5f81backed Over37c2,021$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.6370%0 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7607424.3%18 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under47c1,657$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.941144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over46c1,581$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.0113445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over41c1,500$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6152948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over37c1,148$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.284231%13 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x308d…3519backed Over55c1,145$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.551266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over48c1,063$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.161,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under52c774.74$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.13450%17 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd0…93acbacked Over36c744.36$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.975131.4%16 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over73c699.99$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.992969%20 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under43c639.51$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.849850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under15c632.67$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.775166.7%34 W · 17 L+8.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+42.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over26c630.7$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.981872.2%13 W · 5 L+5.1wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+56.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x82be…172cbacked Over33c581.95$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.8630%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over37c572.7$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.5249137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under67c550.81$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.7268750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over35c509.4$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1777546.7%35 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under70c446.99$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.6810759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd25e…f458backed Over35c414.6$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.115242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under19c400.21$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.967042.9%30 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under38c361.93$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.0532650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Over16c356.1$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.981145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over37c299.06$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6513826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81b5…56cdbacked Over33c296.82$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over39c293.82$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.881040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b3d…7de0backed Under34c288.08$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.71955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick33cpaid+29%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under66c281.15$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.591947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb611…188fbacked Over26c280.53$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.94837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over35c269.08$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1811348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1150…abe0backed Over58c266.87$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.33540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under65c263.87$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3536456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc57f…cfffbacked Over49c263.04$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Under78c253.03$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.671450%7 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under65c248.31$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9124953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under64c247$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9214258.5%83 W · 59 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over14c234.43$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.244553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under22c231.14$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.523438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac9…f5ddbacked Over21c226.81$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6340%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over43c211.51$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.955046%23 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over56c207.67$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9415459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20dc…f74cbacked Over47c206.92$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.812927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb354…0b3bbacked Over37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Over49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.941741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x129b…190abacked Over70c197.28$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.61942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under73c197.14$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2316340.5%66 W · 97 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977138%27 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under63c184.87$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4920452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2831…e84dbacked Over69c180$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.21338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x578a…6f10backed Over58c168.14$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.48666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over58c168.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4816526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over64c166.04$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.172138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Over47c162.38$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.671618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-45.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e29…4b24backed Over64c152.88$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over56c151.08$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.646742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd53c…5194backed Over26c149.06$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.361735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under62c145.63$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7143058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa9c…c6debacked Over69c144$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.365642.9%24 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under65c143.87$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.715168.6%35 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over62c140.26$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.962259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01ec…df67backed Over57c135.61$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-45.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under28c134.55$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.27955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over78c126.51$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.687262.5%45 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea77…686ebacked Over64c120.33$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.011136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.27per pick63cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under44c113.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.638354.2%45 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over34c105.8$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3130828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Under46c105.17$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.794763.8%30 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9b7…4dcfbacked Over37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503040%12 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484045%18 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under68c99.98$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4917955.3%99 W · 80 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over54c97.24$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5110233.3%34 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a2c…32bcbacked Over64c92.03$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick46cpaid-73.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over44c88.03$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6838739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Over35c82.37$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.836645.5%30 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x591f…f067backed Under72c81.93$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc4…3479backed Under69c79.49$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.645100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over62c78.23$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8719353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4178…8b48backed Under64c76.44$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5210100%10 W · 0 L+3.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+69.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over79c75.29$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2415253.9%82 W · 70 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over43c67.61$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.074334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under36c66.27$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4131051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Over45c64.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.017958.2%46 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over72c62.67$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.127661.8%47 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.73450%17 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65cf…5cdebacked Over49c55.77$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over35c54.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.222864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over51c54.89$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9919952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over53c54.75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.16922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick54cpaid-62.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c75…45febacked Under62c54.59$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.71650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Under27c53.16$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.812650%13 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under53c52.96$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9214845.3%67 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9531…18ffbacked Over58c50.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.243630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51d2…1462backed Over60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+38.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.