TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb354…0b3b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Mattia Belluccibacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.6
Aix en Provence: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptistebacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Fernandez (+1.5)backed Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$110
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Anna Bondarbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$219.57
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Jesper de Jongbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$315.94
Madrid Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Sofia Keninbacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$241
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$83.78
Set 1 Winner: Rybakina vs Fernandezbacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.98
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreevabacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.31
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Marta Kostyuk vs Ann Libacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+90.6%+$362.43
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Leganés: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.29
FC Andorra vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Cádiz CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$72.07
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.16
Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$63
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.37
Granada CF vs. SD Huesca: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid+17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+77%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$230.98
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$30
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72
Canucks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
All 5 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.3
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$45.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.12
Holstein Kiel vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+95.2%+$316.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Mansur Abdul-Malik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.