Other European Leagues · resolved market
Viborg FF vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9afe9be5b4dda4df6e2c71a558fbba4c27c68800ec7c45def732f6c0f9e38dfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 787.35$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.05 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Over | 43c | 571.42$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.93 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 66c | 366.59$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.35 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef8a…7035backed Over | 77c | 313.83$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 77cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Over | 31c | 291$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.21 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 46c | 210.11$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.65 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb354…0b3bbacked Over | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4801…295fbacked Over | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Over | 69c | 144.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…a8dbbacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 32c | 84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 68c | 84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 79.05$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…2b94backed Under | 69c | 72.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 42c | 66.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 31c | 64.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 75c | 46.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 67c | 42.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 31c | 41.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 67c | 31.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 68c | 24.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…fceebacked Over | 45c | 22.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 49c | 20.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 69c | 18.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 69c | 18.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Viborg FF vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Aarhus GF (-1.5)Viborg FF won
- Spread: Aarhus GF (-2.5)Viborg FF won
- Spread: Viborg FF (-1.5)Aarhus GF won
- Spread: Viborg FF (-2.5)Aarhus GF won
- Viborg FF vs. Aarhus GF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Viborg FF vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Viborg FF vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Viborg FF vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.