Other European Leagues · resolved market
Viborg FF vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc709d91bc7fa962ae020109ec9b292f1c8c77ee3cf57fae54c0bd6d6d6a56e6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 1,090$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.3 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46cf…42eabacked Over | 54c | 996.59$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 252.97$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.9 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 12c | 246.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 53c | 241.19$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.36 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Under | 47c | 239.16$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 6c | 236.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 13c | 101$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Over | 54c | 55.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 54c | 40.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f65…57d4backed Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f92cbacked Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…94b0backed Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48b…cf6ebacked Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x251d…49d6backed Under | 46c | 24.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd516…dd01backed Over | 54c | 24.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe355…3fdebacked Over | 54c | 24.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dd…aa25backed Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…2b2dbacked Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22dd…f37bbacked Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d07…228fbacked Over | 54c | 23.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66dd…1cbbbacked Over | 54c | 23.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…57a8backed Over | 54c | 23.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…2ff2backed Over | 54c | 23.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01cd…75f5backed Over | 54c | 23.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb19…ae9cbacked Over | 54c | 23.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe708…a3e4backed Over | 54c | 23.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2644…92f1backed Under | 46c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5841…47bfbacked Under | 46c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…0aecbacked Under | 46c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5290…d85ebacked Under | 46c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…1edcbacked Under | 46c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbba…af89backed Over | 54c | 22.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0143…d770backed Over | 54c | 22.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x145d…dc7dbacked Over | 54c | 22.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 53c | 22.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x322d…d7d9backed Under | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…ddc0backed Over | 54c | 21.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d15…b0e8backed Over | 54c | 21.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93cd…a192backed Over | 54c | 21.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fc…2650backed Over | 54c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…4ac1backed Over | 54c | 20.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f3…feb1backed Over | 54c | 20.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…77d5backed Over | 54c | 20.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4500…3cf9backed Over | 54c | 20.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b2…7c55backed Over | 54c | 19.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…1738backed Over | 54c | 19.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…d045backed Over | 54c | 18.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Viborg FF vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Aarhus GF (-1.5)Viborg FF won
- Spread: Aarhus GF (-2.5)Viborg FF won
- Spread: Viborg FF (-1.5)Aarhus GF won
- Spread: Viborg FF (-2.5)Aarhus GF won
- Viborg FF vs. Aarhus GF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Viborg FF vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Viborg FF vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Viborg FF vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.