TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5279…a8db

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-38.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.52
Swansea City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Ipswich Town FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Preston North End FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Bristol City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+300%+$37.5
Watford FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$78
AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$99
AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.7%+$26.33
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Aston Villa vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$203.5
Will Tottenham beat Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+75.4%+$52.85
Will Wolverhampton beat Newcastle?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Arsenal beat Tottenham?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+132.6%+$25.76
Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT+66.7%+$8
All 18 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$25.08
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Grind Back (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffsbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$392
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$119
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$110.1
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28.7
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$26.45
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+132.6%+$57
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+101.1%+$15.09
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+81.8%+$27
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tromsø IL vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$220.83
FC Arouca vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$30.18
Viborg FF vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Molde FK vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. IK Start: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Kristiansund BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Vålerenga Fotball vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.08
Vålerenga Fotball vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Vejle BK vs. Randers FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-48%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+92%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.