South American Leagues · resolved market
Mirassol FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5538e3f8e91ea22f4e2c6ee3ffd390c64bc8d609053febc256ff6add8b332cc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc82…3918backed Under | 50c | 2,083$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 1,362$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.5 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 40c | 1,205$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 918.73$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.9 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaeb…a226backed Under | 50c | 911.8$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 38c | 845.69$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.33 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 46c | 594.25$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.37 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…e1b8backed Over | 66c | 498.35$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.01 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 439.11$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.55 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 9c | 420.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 74c | 406$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.44 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over | 47c | 379.04$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.15 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 64c | 350.68$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.53 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 34c | 327.58$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.82 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…7f3fbacked Over | 49c | 326.43$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.95 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 296.1$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.06 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 40c | 241$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 73c | 229.1$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.25 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 202.34$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 57c | 182.94$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.21 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 64c | 156.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 64c | 156.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 64c | 156.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 64c | 156.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…dd65backed Under | 64c | 156.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 64c | 153.82$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.78 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 70c | 135.03$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 67c | 134.77$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 73c | 129.86$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 80 | 21.3%17 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…6d0dbacked Over | 67c | 117.04$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.42 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e3…242cbacked Over | 12c | 114.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 34c | 100.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.63 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 65c | 75.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Over | 69c | 72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 72c | 71.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 42c | 68.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -14.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 39c | 61.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Over | 46c | 59.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 39c | 52.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96bf…3d48backed Under | 34c | 51.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…84d1backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 49.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 36c | 49.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed Over | 39c | 49.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 50c | 48.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 50c | 48.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…a8dbbacked Over | 41c | 48.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 71c | 44.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 77c | 38.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba2…f46bbacked Under | 65c | 37.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…ea85backed Over | 56c | 34.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed Over | 48c | 33.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 48c | 28.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Over | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 61c | 26.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bca…24aebacked Over | 54c | 25.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…08a7backed Over | 67c | 24.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…d945backed Over | 73c | 19.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 62c | 19.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x634d…f0d0backed Under | 61c | 16.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 72c | 15.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 68c | 14.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mirassol FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 1.5this page
- Mirassol FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Mirassol FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)Mirassol FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.