TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa396…0019

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
137
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UD Las Palmas vs. SD Huesca: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.83
Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+427.1%+$81.27
Getafe CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$71.67
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.28
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+355.1%+$135.4
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+128.2%+$619.85
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.26
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.85
UD Las Palmas vs. Granada CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+162.7%+$1,106.55
UD Las Palmas vs. Granada CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Burgos CF vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$609Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$608.92
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
Real Valladolid CF vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$202
Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Albacete Balompié vs. CD Castellón: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Real Sporting de Gijón vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Real Sporting de Gijón vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.65
AD Ceuta FC vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
CD Castellón vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+181.5%+$235.98
CD Castellón vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.59
Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+228.5%+$114.24
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+145.2%+$116.17
Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+195.1%+$39.03
Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+155.9%+$187.1
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$197
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$18.44
Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+116.6%+$34.97
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+57%+$5.7
Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+90.6%+$18.13
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+179.6%+$125.73
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
All 16 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$633Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$632.75
FC Schalke 04 vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+529.9%+$100.63
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+127.7%+$148.04
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.31
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.13
DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$157.67
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+195.7%+$194.82
VfL Wolfsburg vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Czechia vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.48
Netherlands vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Saudi Arabia vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+127.6%+$165.89
Cyprus vs. Moldova: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Lithuania vs. Georgia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$46.96
Canada vs. Iceland: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Hungary vs. Slovenia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Scotland vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Morocco vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+303.5%+$182.1
England vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+368%+$625.66
Netherlands vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$296
Greece vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Poland vs. Albania: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Türkiye vs. Romania: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$214
All 15 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Viborg FF vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Molde FK vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Kristiansund BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.22
Livingston FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
FC Porto vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$182.45
AFC Ajax vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
FC Porto vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+429.1%+$81.64
AZ vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+238.7%+$114.3
SC Braga vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Beşiktaş JK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick27cpaid-70.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$518.77
Pisa SC vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.76
US Cremonese vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+219.7%+$210.68
SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.65
Hellas Verona FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.9
ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.75
AS Roma vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.72
Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.14
Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.16
Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.59
SS Lazio vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+65.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$19.64
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$68
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$60
US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+132.6%+$22.23
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+249.1%+$43.33
US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$35
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+194.1%+$66
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.82
AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+123.7%+$239.23
Le Havre AC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
FC Lorient vs. Paris FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$396.75
Lille OSC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.23
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+297.4%+$824.38
Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+135.3%+$27.07
AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.05
Angers SCO vs. OGC Nice: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+101.2%+$68.33
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+219%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+129%+$103.18
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.