La Liga · resolved market
SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ad83f533a2f3f9449f8da0bd263963065d27de6cf936792463a515473db92e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 4,984$2,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,729.65 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over | 47c | 3,900$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.84 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 28c | 1,793$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Over | 65c | 1,652$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.07 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f0…c7a9backed Over | 47c | 1,369$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…f812backed Over | 61c | 1,097$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.04 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 932.28$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.85 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8562…ad77backed Under | 20c | 741.9$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.52 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 46c | 561.87$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.46 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 36c | 549.7$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.92 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 40c | 450$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…a56fbacked Over | 42c | 399.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 11c | 379.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 80c | 351.12$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.74 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 29c | 314.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x166f…1826backed Over | 80c | 312.5$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 71c | 299.99$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…d64abacked Over | 63c | 280.98$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.12 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 52c | 278.77$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 62c | 278.47$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.61 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 51c | 261.3$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.92 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Under | 55c | 259.52$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.4 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Over | 51c | 245.29$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 52c | 240.02$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.21 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 50c | 228$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…ee60backed Under | 67c | 215.92$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 55c | 201.94$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.65 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 201.63$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f08…57bcbacked Over | 57c | 174.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Over | 79c | 171.06$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.88 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef8a…7035backed Over | 80c | 163.75$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 55c | 151.71$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.62 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…860fbacked Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 64c | 125$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5857backed Over | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 75c | 113.16$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.62 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 43c | 102.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.73 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 58c | 101.72$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3482…fa0ebacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 43c | 96.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.63 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 38c | 90.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Under | 57c | 75.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Under | 31c | 75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Over | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…5e83backed Over | 49c | 67.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 56c | 66.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 59c | 52.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 79c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 119 | 62.2%74 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Under | 73c | 36.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 59c | 31.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Under | 54c | 31.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Under | 62c | 31.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 66c | 28.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x492f…bc51backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 53c | 22.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 47c | 21.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…6221backed Over | 49c | 20.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Over | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 4.5this page
- SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5Over won
- SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5Over won
- SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5)SD Eibar won
- Spread: UD Las Palmas (-1.5)SD Eibar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.